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icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 34.5%

Grecia 16.4%

Dinamarca 12.6%

Francia 8.3%

Polymarket

$120,715,303 Vol.

Finlandia 34.5%

Grecia 16.4%

Dinamarca 12.6%

Francia 8.3%

Polymarket

$120,715,303 Vol.

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$3,646,148 Vol.

35%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$2,253,193 Vol.

16%

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$1,855,243 Vol.

13%

icon for Francia

Francia

$2,426,042 Vol.

8%

icon for Australia

Australia

$2,004,993 Vol.

6%

icon for Israel

Israel

$2,072,927 Vol.

5%

icon for Suecia

Suecia

$1,658,212 Vol.

3%

icon for Italia

Italia

$2,813,516 Vol.

3%

icon for Rumanía

Rumanía

$1,964,218 Vol.

3%

icon for Ucrania

Ucrania

$1,944,953 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$2,373,728 Vol.

1%

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$1,917,902 Vol.

1%

icon for Chequia

Chequia

$1,447,163 Vol.

1%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$2,102,893 Vol.

1%

icon for Croacia

Croacia

$2,715,119 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldavia

Moldavia

$2,736,330 Vol.

1%

icon for Alemania

Alemania

$2,555,118 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luxemburgo

Luxemburgo

$2,826,656 Vol.

<1%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$3,536,795 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$3,165,494 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituania

Lituania

$3,933,391 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$3,872,928 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suiza

Suiza

$4,557,468 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reino Unido

Reino Unido

$2,591,727 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$5,253,978 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$6,258,702 Vol.

<1%

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$5,429,070 Vol.

<1%

icon for Letonia

Letonia

$4,565,213 Vol.

<1%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$4,592,399 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$5,354,559 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaiyán

Azerbaiyán

$5,301,380 Vol.

<1%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$5,446,249 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polonia

Polonia

$4,743,718 Vol.

<1%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$5,360,324 Vol.

<1%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$5,442,672 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen has solidified its frontrunner status at 34.5% implied probability on Polymarket, dominating fan polls like OGAE and "My Eurovision," early Eurojury votes, and bookmaker consensus thanks to its high-energy fusion of live strings and pop hooks appealing to both juries and televoters. Greece at 16.4% surges on catchy rhythms primed for massive public support, while Denmark's 12.6% reflects a recent climb from strong national final buzz and pre-party momentum. France (8.3%) and Australia (6.0%) hold via ballad drama and diaspora votes, but the wide-open field underscores jury unpredictability and rehearsal risks, with first run-throughs this week ahead of Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final on the 16th.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$120,715,303
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen has solidified its frontrunner status at 34.5% implied probability on Polymarket, dominating fan polls like OGAE and "My Eurovision," early Eurojury votes, and bookmaker consensus thanks to its high-energy fusion of live strings and pop hooks appealing to both juries and televoters. Greece at 16.4% surges on catchy rhythms primed for massive public support, while Denmark's 12.6% reflects a recent climb from strong national final buzz and pre-party momentum. France (8.3%) and Australia (6.0%) hold via ballad drama and diaspora votes, but the wide-open field underscores jury unpredictability and rehearsal risks, with first run-throughs this week ahead of Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final on the 16th.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$120,715,303
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 35%, seguido de "Grecia" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $120.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Grecia" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.