Exit polls released in the last 48 hours following Assam's April 9 single-phase Legislative Assembly election overwhelmingly project a landslide victory for the BJP-led NDA alliance, forecasting 88-100+ seats out of 126 for Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's coalition with allies AGP and BPF. This trader consensus at 94% for BJP aligns with pre-election opinion polls showing strong incumbency advantages, robust organizational strength, and fragmented opposition from the Congress-led Mahajot, which recent surveys pegged at 22-35 seats. Results are due May 4; while historical exit poll accuracy favors BJP's hat-trick, rare counting discrepancies or legal challenges could theoretically narrow the margin, though such upsets remain improbable given uniform poll projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAssam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
BJP 96.6%
INC 3.6%
CPI(M) <1%
NCP <1%
$170,366 Vol.
$170,366 Vol.
May 20, 2026
BJP
97%
INC
4%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
AIUDF
<1%
BPF
<1%
AITC
<1%
CPI
<1%
NPEP
<1%
AGP
<1%
BJP 96.6%
INC 3.6%
CPI(M) <1%
NCP <1%
$170,366 Vol.
$170,366 Vol.
May 20, 2026
BJP
$39,194 Vol.
97%
INC
$18,766 Vol.
4%
CPI(M)
$14,394 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$12,232 Vol.
<1%
AIUDF
$11,841 Vol.
<1%
BPF
$17,496 Vol.
<1%
AITC
$14,462 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$17,186 Vol.
<1%
NPEP
$12,178 Vol.
<1%
AGP
$12,617 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Exit polls released in the last 48 hours following Assam's April 9 single-phase Legislative Assembly election overwhelmingly project a landslide victory for the BJP-led NDA alliance, forecasting 88-100+ seats out of 126 for Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's coalition with allies AGP and BPF. This trader consensus at 94% for BJP aligns with pre-election opinion polls showing strong incumbency advantages, robust organizational strength, and fragmented opposition from the Congress-led Mahajot, which recent surveys pegged at 22-35 seats. Results are due May 4; while historical exit poll accuracy favors BJP's hat-trick, rare counting discrepancies or legal challenges could theoretically narrow the margin, though such upsets remain improbable given uniform poll projections.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Market Opened: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Volume
$170,366End Date
Apr 9, 2026Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Exit polls released in the last 48 hours following Assam's April 9 single-phase Legislative Assembly election overwhelmingly project a landslide victory for the BJP-led NDA alliance, forecasting 88-100+ seats out of 126 for Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's coalition with allies AGP and BPF. This trader consensus at 94% for BJP aligns with pre-election opinion polls showing strong incumbency advantages, robust organizational strength, and fragmented opposition from the Congress-led Mahajot, which recent surveys pegged at 22-35 seats. Results are due May 4; while historical exit poll accuracy favors BJP's hat-trick, rare counting discrepancies or legal challenges could theoretically narrow the margin, though such upsets remain improbable given uniform poll projections.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volume
$170,366End Date
Apr 9, 2026Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Exit polls released in the last 48 hours following Assam's April 9 single-phase Legislative Assembly election overwhelmingly project a landslide victory for the BJP-led NDA alliance, forecasting 88-100+ seats out of 126 for Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's coalition with allies AGP and BPF. This trader consensus at 94% for BJP aligns with pre-election opinion polls showing strong incumbency advantages, robust organizational strength, and fragmented opposition from the Congress-led Mahajot, which recent surveys pegged at 22-35 seats. Results are due May 4; while historical exit poll accuracy favors BJP's hat-trick, rare counting discrepancies or legal challenges could theoretically narrow the margin, though such upsets remain improbable given uniform poll projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
85%
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
75%
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
52%
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions