Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 180-199 posts range at 60.1% for Elon Musk's X activity from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his recent pace of 25-28 posts per day in late April—down from March's 42 daily average amid scaled-back Department of Government Efficiency involvement and April 30 testimony in the OpenAI trial versus Sam Altman. Daily trackers show variability, like 31 posts on April 24 and lower teens later, projecting totals near 190 absent spikes. The 200-219 (24.5%) and 160-179 (11.5%) ranges capture burst potential or further moderation, with May 1 lacking catalysts to alter the trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedElon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
180-199 61.0%
200-219 24%
160-179 13.0%
220-239 2.8%
$11,255,431 Vol.
$11,255,431 Vol.
May 1, 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
13%
180-199
61%
200-219
24%
220-239
3%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
180-199 61.0%
200-219 24%
160-179 13.0%
220-239 2.8%
$11,255,431 Vol.
$11,255,431 Vol.
May 1, 2026
140-159
$2,742,896 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$1,294,178 Vol.
13%
180-199
$664,271 Vol.
61%
200-219
$571,701 Vol.
24%
220-239
$576,134 Vol.
3%
240-259
$532,589 Vol.
1%
260-279
$461,675 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$504,377 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$513,975 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$475,582 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$404,182 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$314,683 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$339,890 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$209,639 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$133,153 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$161,804 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$122,331 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$106,549 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$96,077 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$81,186 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$57,312 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$69,027 Vol.
<1%
580+
$164,263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 180-199 posts range at 60.1% for Elon Musk's X activity from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his recent pace of 25-28 posts per day in late April—down from March's 42 daily average amid scaled-back Department of Government Efficiency involvement and April 30 testimony in the OpenAI trial versus Sam Altman. Daily trackers show variability, like 31 posts on April 24 and lower teens later, projecting totals near 190 absent spikes. The 200-219 (24.5%) and 160-179 (11.5%) ranges capture burst potential or further moderation, with May 1 lacking catalysts to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$11,255,431End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 180-199 posts range at 60.1% for Elon Musk's X activity from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his recent pace of 25-28 posts per day in late April—down from March's 42 daily average amid scaled-back Department of Government Efficiency involvement and April 30 testimony in the OpenAI trial versus Sam Altman. Daily trackers show variability, like 31 posts on April 24 and lower teens later, projecting totals near 190 absent spikes. The 200-219 (24.5%) and 160-179 (11.5%) ranges capture burst potential or further moderation, with May 1 lacking catalysts to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$11,255,431End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 180-199 posts range at 60.1% for Elon Musk's X activity from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his recent pace of 25-28 posts per day in late April—down from March's 42 daily average amid scaled-back Department of Government Efficiency involvement and April 30 testimony in the OpenAI trial versus Sam Altman. Daily trackers show variability, like 31 posts on April 24 and lower teens later, projecting totals near 190 absent spikes. The 200-219 (24.5%) and 160-179 (11.5%) ranges capture burst potential or further moderation, with May 1 lacking catalysts to alter the trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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