Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 140-199 tweets for Elon Musk from April 28 to May 5, with 160-179 (17.9%) edging 180-199 (15%) and 140-159 (14.5%) amid a closely contested field reflecting uncertainty in his posting trajectory. Through May 1 afternoon, only about 33 posts have accumulated over the first three days—averaging below 17 daily, down from late April's 23-26 norm and March's 42—due to moderated activity amid DOGE role distractions and political engagements. Swing factors include the major X advertising upgrade launching May 5, ongoing xAI and Starlink buzz, and potential Tesla/SpaceX announcements, any of which could spark historical spikes pushing totals higher in the final four days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated160-179 17.9%
180-199 15.0%
140-159 14.8%
200-219 14%
$3,220,964 Vol.
$3,220,964 Vol.
May 5, 2026
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
3%
100-119
6%
120-139
13%
140-159
15%
160-179
18%
180-199
15%
200-219
14%
220-239
8%
240-259
4%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 17.9%
180-199 15.0%
140-159 14.8%
200-219 14%
$3,220,964 Vol.
$3,220,964 Vol.
May 5, 2026
20-39
$147,206 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$202,002 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$304,487 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$263,349 Vol.
3%
100-119
$148,570 Vol.
6%
120-139
$124,133 Vol.
13%
140-159
$129,800 Vol.
15%
160-179
$108,586 Vol.
18%
180-199
$96,715 Vol.
15%
200-219
$68,098 Vol.
14%
220-239
$70,322 Vol.
8%
240-259
$66,732 Vol.
4%
260-279
$64,947 Vol.
2%
280-299
$67,631 Vol.
1%
300-319
$72,808 Vol.
1%
320-339
$74,292 Vol.
1%
340-359
$95,582 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$125,355 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$118,860 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$94,257 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$120,781 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$114,685 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$63,133 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$116,123 Vol.
<1%
500+
$123,180 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 140-199 tweets for Elon Musk from April 28 to May 5, with 160-179 (17.9%) edging 180-199 (15%) and 140-159 (14.5%) amid a closely contested field reflecting uncertainty in his posting trajectory. Through May 1 afternoon, only about 33 posts have accumulated over the first three days—averaging below 17 daily, down from late April's 23-26 norm and March's 42—due to moderated activity amid DOGE role distractions and political engagements. Swing factors include the major X advertising upgrade launching May 5, ongoing xAI and Starlink buzz, and potential Tesla/SpaceX announcements, any of which could spark historical spikes pushing totals higher in the final four days.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$3,220,964End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 140-199 tweets for Elon Musk from April 28 to May 5, with 160-179 (17.9%) edging 180-199 (15%) and 140-159 (14.5%) amid a closely contested field reflecting uncertainty in his posting trajectory. Through May 1 afternoon, only about 33 posts have accumulated over the first three days—averaging below 17 daily, down from late April's 23-26 norm and March's 42—due to moderated activity amid DOGE role distractions and political engagements. Swing factors include the major X advertising upgrade launching May 5, ongoing xAI and Starlink buzz, and potential Tesla/SpaceX announcements, any of which could spark historical spikes pushing totals higher in the final four days.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,220,964End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 140-199 tweets for Elon Musk from April 28 to May 5, with 160-179 (17.9%) edging 180-199 (15%) and 140-159 (14.5%) amid a closely contested field reflecting uncertainty in his posting trajectory. Through May 1 afternoon, only about 33 posts have accumulated over the first three days—averaging below 17 daily, down from late April's 23-26 norm and March's 42—due to moderated activity amid DOGE role distractions and political engagements. Swing factors include the major X advertising upgrade launching May 5, ongoing xAI and Starlink buzz, and potential Tesla/SpaceX announcements, any of which could spark historical spikes pushing totals higher in the final four days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions