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2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner

icon for 2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner

2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner

$45,503 Vol.

Polymarket

$45,503 Vol.

Mirra Andreeva

$316 Vol.

70%

Marta Kostyuk

$1,617 Vol.

28%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mirra Andreeva holds a 58% implied probability edge as trader consensus favorite for the 2026 Mutua Madrid Open women's singles title after saving three set points to defeat Hailey Baptiste 6-4, 7-6(8) in the semifinals earlier today, extending her strong clay-court run as the first teenager to reach three finals this season. Marta Kostyuk, at 43.5%, rides a 10-match winning streak—including upsets over Jessica Pegula, Linda Noskova, and a gritty comeback past Anastasia Potapova—showcasing dominant baseline power on high-altitude clay. With defending champion Aryna Sabalenka out in the quarterfinals to Baptiste and no injury concerns for either finalist, this closely contested matchup highlights their recent semifinal triumphs and stylistic edges on the red clay at La Caja Mágica.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45,503
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mirra Andreeva holds a 58% implied probability edge as trader consensus favorite for the 2026 Mutua Madrid Open women's singles title after saving three set points to defeat Hailey Baptiste 6-4, 7-6(8) in the semifinals earlier today, extending her strong clay-court run as the first teenager to reach three finals this season. Marta Kostyuk, at 43.5%, rides a 10-match winning streak—including upsets over Jessica Pegula, Linda Noskova, and a gritty comeback past Anastasia Potapova—showcasing dominant baseline power on high-altitude clay. With defending champion Aryna Sabalenka out in the quarterfinals to Baptiste and no injury concerns for either finalist, this closely contested matchup highlights their recent semifinal triumphs and stylistic edges on the red clay at La Caja Mágica.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45,503
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 99+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mirra Andreeva" at 70%, followed by "Marta Kostyuk" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner" has generated $45.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner," browse the 99+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner" is "Mirra Andreeva" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marta Kostyuk" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.