Mirra Andreeva holds a 58% implied probability edge as trader consensus favorite for the 2026 Mutua Madrid Open women's singles title after saving three set points to defeat Hailey Baptiste 6-4, 7-6(8) in the semifinals earlier today, extending her strong clay-court run as the first teenager to reach three finals this season. Marta Kostyuk, at 43.5%, rides a 10-match winning streak—including upsets over Jessica Pegula, Linda Noskova, and a gritty comeback past Anastasia Potapova—showcasing dominant baseline power on high-altitude clay. With defending champion Aryna Sabalenka out in the quarterfinals to Baptiste and no injury concerns for either finalist, this closely contested matchup highlights their recent semifinal triumphs and stylistic edges on the red clay at La Caja Mágica.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$45,503 Vol.
$45,503 Vol.
Mirra Andreeva
70%
Marta Kostyuk
28%
$45,503 Vol.
$45,503 Vol.
Mirra Andreeva
70%
Marta Kostyuk
28%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mirra Andreeva holds a 58% implied probability edge as trader consensus favorite for the 2026 Mutua Madrid Open women's singles title after saving three set points to defeat Hailey Baptiste 6-4, 7-6(8) in the semifinals earlier today, extending her strong clay-court run as the first teenager to reach three finals this season. Marta Kostyuk, at 43.5%, rides a 10-match winning streak—including upsets over Jessica Pegula, Linda Noskova, and a gritty comeback past Anastasia Potapova—showcasing dominant baseline power on high-altitude clay. With defending champion Aryna Sabalenka out in the quarterfinals to Baptiste and no injury concerns for either finalist, this closely contested matchup highlights their recent semifinal triumphs and stylistic edges on the red clay at La Caja Mágica.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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