Skip to main content
icon for Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

icon for Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD 93%

CDU 7.7%

BSW <1%

FDP <1%

Polymarket

$686,197 Vol.

AfD 93%

CDU 7.7%

BSW <1%

FDP <1%

Polymarket

$686,197 Vol.

icon for AfD

AfD

$12,104 Vol.

93%

icon for CDU

CDU

$468,802 Vol.

8%

icon for BSW

BSW

$18,556 Vol.

1%

icon for FDP

FDP

$14,031 Vol.

<1%

icon for SPD

SPD

$106,410 Vol.

<1%

icon for The Left

The Left

$33,810 Vol.

<1%

icon for The Greens

The Greens

$32,484 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus prices AfD's victory in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election at over 90%, driven by its persistent double-digit polling lead—38% to CDU's 25% in the latest INSA survey from late March—reflecting sustained strength in eastern Germany amid voter dissatisfaction with migration policy, economic stagnation, and establishment parties. The proportional representation system with a 5% threshold favors AfD's projected plurality of seats in the 97-member parliament, consistent across polls since early 2026 following CDU Premier Reiner Haseloff's decision not to seek re-election. While stable trends underpin this positioning, a CDU surge via strong campaigning, an AfD scandal, or shifts in undecided voters could narrow the gap before the September 6 vote, though historical base rates in the region suggest formidable barriers to overtaking AfD.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$686,197
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus prices AfD's victory in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election at over 90%, driven by its persistent double-digit polling lead—38% to CDU's 25% in the latest INSA survey from late March—reflecting sustained strength in eastern Germany amid voter dissatisfaction with migration policy, economic stagnation, and establishment parties. The proportional representation system with a 5% threshold favors AfD's projected plurality of seats in the 97-member parliament, consistent across polls since early 2026 following CDU Premier Reiner Haseloff's decision not to seek re-election. While stable trends underpin this positioning, a CDU surge via strong campaigning, an AfD scandal, or shifts in undecided voters could narrow the gap before the September 6 vote, though historical base rates in the region suggest formidable barriers to overtaking AfD.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$686,197
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

Related

icon for Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

87%
icon for Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

88%
icon for Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

40%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "AfD" at 93%, followed by "CDU" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner" has generated $686.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner" is "AfD" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "CDU" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.