US national average regular gasoline prices climbed above $4.30 per gallon by April 30, 2026—the highest in four years—driven by Middle East conflict disrupting crude oil supplies via Strait of Hormuz closures, with Brent benchmarks surpassing $110 per barrel. This surge, up nearly 30% year-over-year from March lows around $3.80, reflected escalating geopolitical tensions, seasonal demand increases ahead of summer driving season, and constrained refinery capacity. Traders weighed supply risks against potential de-escalation or Strategic Petroleum Reserve actions, though no major releases materialized. EIA weekly reports confirm the peak, resolving markets based on AAA daily national averages through month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$447,456 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
↑ $5.00
<1%
↑ $4.75
<1%
↑ $4.50
<1%
↓ $3.95
1%
↓ $3.85
<1%
↓ $3.75
<1%
↓ $3.50
<1%
↓ $3.25
<1%
↓ $3.00
<1%
$447,456 Vol.
↑ $5.00
$70,509 Vol.
<1%
↑ $4.75
$46,771 Vol.
<1%
↑ $4.50
$37,495 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.95
$17,832 Vol.
1%
↓ $3.85
$17,229 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.75
$10,665 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.50
$4,799 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.25
$2,604 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.00
$5,234 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US national average regular gasoline prices climbed above $4.30 per gallon by April 30, 2026—the highest in four years—driven by Middle East conflict disrupting crude oil supplies via Strait of Hormuz closures, with Brent benchmarks surpassing $110 per barrel. This surge, up nearly 30% year-over-year from March lows around $3.80, reflected escalating geopolitical tensions, seasonal demand increases ahead of summer driving season, and constrained refinery capacity. Traders weighed supply risks against potential de-escalation or Strategic Petroleum Reserve actions, though no major releases materialized. EIA weekly reports confirm the peak, resolving markets based on AAA daily national averages through month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$447,456End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US national average regular gasoline prices climbed above $4.30 per gallon by April 30, 2026—the highest in four years—driven by Middle East conflict disrupting crude oil supplies via Strait of Hormuz closures, with Brent benchmarks surpassing $110 per barrel. This surge, up nearly 30% year-over-year from March lows around $3.80, reflected escalating geopolitical tensions, seasonal demand increases ahead of summer driving season, and constrained refinery capacity. Traders weighed supply risks against potential de-escalation or Strategic Petroleum Reserve actions, though no major releases materialized. EIA weekly reports confirm the peak, resolving markets based on AAA daily national averages through month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$447,456End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US national average regular gasoline prices climbed above $4.30 per gallon by April 30, 2026—the highest in four years—driven by Middle East conflict disrupting crude oil supplies via Strait of Hormuz closures, with Brent benchmarks surpassing $110 per barrel. This surge, up nearly 30% year-over-year from March lows around $3.80, reflected escalating geopolitical tensions, seasonal demand increases ahead of summer driving season, and constrained refinery capacity. Traders weighed supply risks against potential de-escalation or Strategic Petroleum Reserve actions, though no major releases materialized. EIA weekly reports confirm the peak, resolving markets based on AAA daily national averages through month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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