This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Former state Sen. Tom Begich leads Polymarket trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability to win Alaska's 2026 gubernatorial race, propelled by the April 16-19 Alaska Survey Research poll showing him atop the top-four primary field at 19% and defeating conservative activist Bernadette Wilson 53.9%-46.1% in a ranked-choice voting simulation. Wilson holds second at 23.5% on strong GOP grassroots support, while Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom lags at 10.8% in a crowded Republican field splitting votes under the nonpartisan August 18 primary system. Incumbent Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limit opens the contest; AG Treg Taylor's fundraising edge adds uncertainty ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Former state Sen. Tom Begich leads Polymarket trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability to win Alaska's 2026 gubernatorial race, propelled by the April 16-19 Alaska Survey Research poll showing him atop the top-four primary field at 19% and defeating conservative activist Bernadette Wilson 53.9%-46.1% in a ranked-choice voting simulation. Wilson holds second at 23.5% on strong GOP grassroots support, while Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom lags at 10.8% in a crowded Republican field splitting votes under the nonpartisan August 18 primary system. Incumbent Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limit opens the contest; AG Treg Taylor's fundraising edge adds uncertainty ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Apr 30 2026
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Wilson among top three candidates, reinforcing her standing within Republican base
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 32%7%
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Wilson among top three candidates, reinforcing her standing within Republican base
Apr 30 2026
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Bronson among three candidates deemed most qualified for governor, providing a modest boost in local party support amid a competitive race
David Bronson rises to 5%1%
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Bronson among three candidates deemed most qualified for governor, providing a modest boost in local party support amid a competitive race
Apr 24 2026
Labor unions form a new political group with a six-figure budget to support Click Bishop and Greta Schuerch’s campaign
Click Bishop jumps to 11%6%
This significant boost from organized labor, including the Alaska AFL-CIO, enhanced Bishop’s campaign resources and visibility, leading to a notable
Apr 23 2026
Market reacts to a fresh Alaska Survey Research poll showing Democrat Tom Begich leading, putting pressure on Wilson’s chances
Bernadette Wilson drops to 24%8%
Market reacts to a fresh Alaska Survey Research poll showing Democrat Tom Begich leading, putting pressure on Wilson’s chances
Apr 23 2026
Polling by Alaska Survey Research shows Click Bishop entering the top four candidates in the primary, replacing Democrat Matt Claman
Click Bishop rises to 11%3%
Positive polling data indicating Bishop’s improved standing in the crowded race contributed to a
Apr 16 2026
Poll shows Begich leading top-four primary with 19%, boosting market odds
Tom Begich jumps to 36%10%
A fresh Alaska Survey Research poll released mid-April showing Begich leading the nonpartisan primary significantly increased market confidence in his electability.
Apr 10 2026
Slight
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 12%4%
No verifiable news event identified; minor market correction.
Apr 8 2026
Click Bishop selects Iñupiaq leader Greta Schuerch as his running mate in Fairbanks
Click Bishop rises to 6%4%
The announcement of Schuerch, a respected Alaska Native leader with ties to mining and government affairs, was seen as a strategic move to broaden Bishop’s appeal, causing a modest
Apr 6 2026
Bronson and Church campaign document reveals plan to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings target to 10%, a controversial proposal criticized as risky and potentially
David Bronson dips to 4%3%
Bronson and Church campaign document reveals plan to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings target to 10%, a controversial proposal criticized as risky and potentially destabilizing, likely dampening market confidence
Apr 2 2026
Market trough at 8% coincides with no specific news but reflects ongoing decline in Dahlstrom’s perceived electability
Nancy Dahlstrom drops to 8%5%
No direct news found; likely market reaction to cumulative campaign developments and polling.
Mar 30 2026
Wilson participates in Alaska Governor Candidate Fireside Forum, increasing visibility among voters and veterans
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 28%14%
Wilson participates in Alaska Governor Candidate Fireside Forum, increasing visibility among voters and veterans
Mar 23 2026
Begich visits Petersburg and Southeast Alaska, emphasizing tax fairness and education funding
Tom Begich jumps to 30%5%
Campaign stops and interviews focusing on collecting fair taxes from companies and funding schools helped stabilize and slightly increase his market.
Mar 21 2026
Polls and market sentiment show a trough for Bishop’s chances, with
Click Bishop drops to 1%8%
This low point reflects market skepticism about Bishop’s ability to advance amid strong competition.
Continued election-related activity under her office may have had a minor negative impact amid broader political dynamics.
Mar 10 2026
Anchorage attorney Gregg Brelsford enters governor’s race, increasing competition in the crowded field
Bernadette Wilson dips to 25%2%
Anchorage attorney Gregg Brelsford enters governor’s race, increasing competition in the crowded field
Feb 23 2026
Wilson criticizes former Governor Dunleavy’s cuts and frames her campaign as a "people’s campaign," appealing to grassroots voters
Bernadette Wilson drops to 27%6%
Wilson criticizes former Governor Dunleavy’s cuts and frames her campaign as a "people’s campaign," appealing to grassroots voters
Feb 23 2026
Begich’s campaign highlighted in media as a leading Democrat
Tom Begich jumps to 29%5%
Media coverage of Begich as the leading Democratic candidate and his participation in forums increased market confidence.
Feb 18 2026
Treg Taylor campaign announces $880,309 raised, signaling strong early fundraising momentum
Treg Taylor jumps to 7%5%
This fundraising milestone indicated serious campaign viability, contributing to a modest.
Feb 18 2026
Wilson reports raising $306,000 in early fundraising, second highest among GOP candidates, signaling strong campaign viability
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 33%13%
Wilson reports raising $306,000 in early fundraising, second highest among GOP candidates, signaling strong campaign viability
Feb 11 2026
Treg Taylor participates in Republican candidate forum in Juneau, emphasizing economic growth and conservative values
While the forum provided exposure, Taylor’s performance did not significantly shift market perception amid many candidates present.
Feb 4 2026
Alaska’s gubernatorial race expands with 16 candidates including Dahlstrom, highlighting a crowded and competitive field
Nancy Dahlstrom drops to 17%8%
The large candidate field likely diluted Dahlstrom’s perceived chances, contributing to a
Feb 4 2026
Former state legislator Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins joins the governor’s race, increasing competition among Democrats and moderates
Click Bishop dips to 2%1%
The entry of more candidates heightened the crowded field effect, pressuring Bishop’s market share downward.
Jan 14 2026
Bronson announces Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as his running mate, emphasizing election security and partnership, aiming to strengthen his campaign with a running mate
David Bronson rises to 5%2%
Bronson announces Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as his running mate, emphasizing election security and partnership, aiming to strengthen his campaign with a running mate from the Interior region
Jan 10 2026
Begich’s campaign gains momentum after Fairbanks kickoff and policy outline
Tom Begich jumps to 34%14%
Begich’s formal campaign launch in Fairbanks and detailed plans on education, energy, and fiscal health boosted market optimism about his chances.
Dec 31 2025
Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of Ballot Initiative 24ESEG to repeal Alaska’s top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system
Certification of a controversial election reform initiative likely maintained steady market interest without major
Dec 23 2025
Lt. Governor Dahlstrom submits Alaska voter registration list to U.S. Department of Justice, demonstrating compliance with federal election laws
Nancy Dahlstrom dips to 21%3%
This administrative action amid election integrity scrutiny may have had a neutral to slightly negative market impact due to political sensitivities.
Dec 22 2025
Wilson signs the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases, gaining support from conservative voters
Bernadette Wilson rises to 23%4%
Wilson signs the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases, gaining support from conservative voters
Dec 1 2025
Alaska Democratic field remains limited with Begich as leading candidate
Tom Begich jumps to 24%5%
With few Democrats entering the race and Begich as the established figure, market.
Nov 3 2025
Click Bishop officially announces his candidacy for Alaska governor, entering a crowded field of over a dozen candidates
Click Bishop plunges to 3%47%
This announcement marked the start of Bishop’s campaign but coincided with the emergence of many other candidates, diluting early market confidence.
Nov 1 2025
Begich emphasizes education and affordable housing goals in campaign stops
Tom Begich jumps to 21%11%
Begich’s public articulation of policy priorities, including fully funding education and affordable energy, during visits to communities like Ketchikan helped regain some market confidence in his viability.
Oct 13 2025
Treg Taylor formally announces candidacy for Alaska governor, leveraging his tenure as Attorney General to address state challenges
Treg Taylor plunges to 4%46%
Taylor’s official entry into the race was widely reported, initially boosting market interest, but the crowded field quickly diluted his standing.
Oct 3 2025
Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom certifies application for Ballot Initiative 25USCV, advancing a voter citizenship requirement initiative
Nancy Dahlstrom jumps to 30%9%
Certification of a high-profile ballot initiative under her office may have temporarily boosted confidence in her leadership and political influence.
Oct 2 2025
Dave Bronson officially announces candidacy for Alaska governor at a press event in Fairbanks, entering a crowded Republican primary field as a former Anchorage mayor with
David Bronson plunges to 2%48%
Dave Bronson officially announces candidacy for Alaska governor at a press event in Fairbanks, entering a crowded Republican primary field as a former Anchorage mayor with executive experience
Sep 10 2025
Wilson selects former State Senator Mike Shower as running mate, bolstering campaign with his military and legislative experience
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 23%5%
Wilson selects former State Senator Mike Shower as running mate, bolstering campaign with his military and legislative experience
Aug 24 2025
Nancy Dahlstrom withdraws from Alaska U.S. House race after placing third in primary, consolidating Republican support behind Nick Begich
This withdrawal clarified her focus on the gubernatorial race but may have tempered enthusiasm as she stepped back from a federal office bid.
Aug 15 2025
Tom Begich announces candidacy for Alaska governor
Tom Begich plunges to 9%41%
Begich officially declared his run for governor as the first Democrat in the race, setting the initial market interest. However, the large Republican field and uncertainty about his chances caused a sharp drop in.
May 13 2025
Bernadette Wilson formally announces candidacy for Alaska governor, emphasizing her business background and outsider status
Bernadette Wilson formally announces candidacy for Alaska governor, emphasizing her business background and outsider status
May 5 2025
Nancy Dahlstrom files letter of intent to run for Alaska governor, officially entering the 2026 race and signaling her candidacy to the public
Nancy Dahlstrom plunges to 21%29%
Her formal step to run likely caused initial market re-evaluation and a sharp
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Former state Sen. Tom Begich leads Polymarket trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability to win Alaska's 2026 gubernatorial race, propelled by the April 16-19 Alaska Survey Research poll showing him atop the top-four primary field at 19% and defeating conservative activist Bernadette Wilson 53.9%-46.1% in a ranked-choice voting simulation. Wilson holds second at 23.5% on strong GOP grassroots support, while Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom lags at 10.8% in a crowded Republican field splitting votes under the nonpartisan August 18 primary system. Incumbent Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limit opens the contest; AG Treg Taylor's fundraising edge adds uncertainty ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Former state Sen. Tom Begich leads Polymarket trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability to win Alaska's 2026 gubernatorial race, propelled by the April 16-19 Alaska Survey Research poll showing him atop the top-four primary field at 19% and defeating conservative activist Bernadette Wilson 53.9%-46.1% in a ranked-choice voting simulation. Wilson holds second at 23.5% on strong GOP grassroots support, while Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom lags at 10.8% in a crowded Republican field splitting votes under the nonpartisan August 18 primary system. Incumbent Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limit opens the contest; AG Treg Taylor's fundraising edge adds uncertainty ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Apr 30 2026
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Wilson among top three candidates, reinforcing her standing within Republican base
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 32%7%
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Wilson among top three candidates, reinforcing her standing within Republican base
Apr 30 2026
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Bronson among three candidates deemed most qualified for governor, providing a modest boost in local party support amid a competitive race
David Bronson rises to 5%1%
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Bronson among three candidates deemed most qualified for governor, providing a modest boost in local party support amid a competitive race
Apr 24 2026
Labor unions form a new political group with a six-figure budget to support Click Bishop and Greta Schuerch’s campaign
Click Bishop jumps to 11%6%
This significant boost from organized labor, including the Alaska AFL-CIO, enhanced Bishop’s campaign resources and visibility, leading to a notable
Apr 23 2026
Market reacts to a fresh Alaska Survey Research poll showing Democrat Tom Begich leading, putting pressure on Wilson’s chances
Bernadette Wilson drops to 24%8%
Market reacts to a fresh Alaska Survey Research poll showing Democrat Tom Begich leading, putting pressure on Wilson’s chances
Apr 23 2026
Polling by Alaska Survey Research shows Click Bishop entering the top four candidates in the primary, replacing Democrat Matt Claman
Click Bishop rises to 11%3%
Positive polling data indicating Bishop’s improved standing in the crowded race contributed to a
Apr 16 2026
Poll shows Begich leading top-four primary with 19%, boosting market odds
Tom Begich jumps to 36%10%
A fresh Alaska Survey Research poll released mid-April showing Begich leading the nonpartisan primary significantly increased market confidence in his electability.
Apr 10 2026
Slight
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 12%4%
No verifiable news event identified; minor market correction.
Apr 8 2026
Click Bishop selects Iñupiaq leader Greta Schuerch as his running mate in Fairbanks
Click Bishop rises to 6%4%
The announcement of Schuerch, a respected Alaska Native leader with ties to mining and government affairs, was seen as a strategic move to broaden Bishop’s appeal, causing a modest
Apr 6 2026
Bronson and Church campaign document reveals plan to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings target to 10%, a controversial proposal criticized as risky and potentially
David Bronson dips to 4%3%
Bronson and Church campaign document reveals plan to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings target to 10%, a controversial proposal criticized as risky and potentially destabilizing, likely dampening market confidence
Apr 2 2026
Market trough at 8% coincides with no specific news but reflects ongoing decline in Dahlstrom’s perceived electability
Nancy Dahlstrom drops to 8%5%
No direct news found; likely market reaction to cumulative campaign developments and polling.
Mar 30 2026
Wilson participates in Alaska Governor Candidate Fireside Forum, increasing visibility among voters and veterans
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 28%14%
Wilson participates in Alaska Governor Candidate Fireside Forum, increasing visibility among voters and veterans
Mar 23 2026
Begich visits Petersburg and Southeast Alaska, emphasizing tax fairness and education funding
Tom Begich jumps to 30%5%
Campaign stops and interviews focusing on collecting fair taxes from companies and funding schools helped stabilize and slightly increase his market.
Mar 21 2026
Polls and market sentiment show a trough for Bishop’s chances, with
Click Bishop drops to 1%8%
This low point reflects market skepticism about Bishop’s ability to advance amid strong competition.
Continued election-related activity under her office may have had a minor negative impact amid broader political dynamics.
Mar 10 2026
Anchorage attorney Gregg Brelsford enters governor’s race, increasing competition in the crowded field
Bernadette Wilson dips to 25%2%
Anchorage attorney Gregg Brelsford enters governor’s race, increasing competition in the crowded field
Feb 23 2026
Wilson criticizes former Governor Dunleavy’s cuts and frames her campaign as a "people’s campaign," appealing to grassroots voters
Bernadette Wilson drops to 27%6%
Wilson criticizes former Governor Dunleavy’s cuts and frames her campaign as a "people’s campaign," appealing to grassroots voters
Feb 23 2026
Begich’s campaign highlighted in media as a leading Democrat
Tom Begich jumps to 29%5%
Media coverage of Begich as the leading Democratic candidate and his participation in forums increased market confidence.
Feb 18 2026
Treg Taylor campaign announces $880,309 raised, signaling strong early fundraising momentum
Treg Taylor jumps to 7%5%
This fundraising milestone indicated serious campaign viability, contributing to a modest.
Feb 18 2026
Wilson reports raising $306,000 in early fundraising, second highest among GOP candidates, signaling strong campaign viability
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 33%13%
Wilson reports raising $306,000 in early fundraising, second highest among GOP candidates, signaling strong campaign viability
Feb 11 2026
Treg Taylor participates in Republican candidate forum in Juneau, emphasizing economic growth and conservative values
While the forum provided exposure, Taylor’s performance did not significantly shift market perception amid many candidates present.
Feb 4 2026
Alaska’s gubernatorial race expands with 16 candidates including Dahlstrom, highlighting a crowded and competitive field
Nancy Dahlstrom drops to 17%8%
The large candidate field likely diluted Dahlstrom’s perceived chances, contributing to a
Feb 4 2026
Former state legislator Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins joins the governor’s race, increasing competition among Democrats and moderates
Click Bishop dips to 2%1%
The entry of more candidates heightened the crowded field effect, pressuring Bishop’s market share downward.
Jan 14 2026
Bronson announces Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as his running mate, emphasizing election security and partnership, aiming to strengthen his campaign with a running mate
David Bronson rises to 5%2%
Bronson announces Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as his running mate, emphasizing election security and partnership, aiming to strengthen his campaign with a running mate from the Interior region
Jan 10 2026
Begich’s campaign gains momentum after Fairbanks kickoff and policy outline
Tom Begich jumps to 34%14%
Begich’s formal campaign launch in Fairbanks and detailed plans on education, energy, and fiscal health boosted market optimism about his chances.
Dec 31 2025
Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of Ballot Initiative 24ESEG to repeal Alaska’s top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system
Certification of a controversial election reform initiative likely maintained steady market interest without major
Dec 23 2025
Lt. Governor Dahlstrom submits Alaska voter registration list to U.S. Department of Justice, demonstrating compliance with federal election laws
Nancy Dahlstrom dips to 21%3%
This administrative action amid election integrity scrutiny may have had a neutral to slightly negative market impact due to political sensitivities.
Dec 22 2025
Wilson signs the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases, gaining support from conservative voters
Bernadette Wilson rises to 23%4%
Wilson signs the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases, gaining support from conservative voters
Dec 1 2025
Alaska Democratic field remains limited with Begich as leading candidate
Tom Begich jumps to 24%5%
With few Democrats entering the race and Begich as the established figure, market.
Nov 3 2025
Click Bishop officially announces his candidacy for Alaska governor, entering a crowded field of over a dozen candidates
Click Bishop plunges to 3%47%
This announcement marked the start of Bishop’s campaign but coincided with the emergence of many other candidates, diluting early market confidence.
Nov 1 2025
Begich emphasizes education and affordable housing goals in campaign stops
Tom Begich jumps to 21%11%
Begich’s public articulation of policy priorities, including fully funding education and affordable energy, during visits to communities like Ketchikan helped regain some market confidence in his viability.
Oct 13 2025
Treg Taylor formally announces candidacy for Alaska governor, leveraging his tenure as Attorney General to address state challenges
Treg Taylor plunges to 4%46%
Taylor’s official entry into the race was widely reported, initially boosting market interest, but the crowded field quickly diluted his standing.
Oct 3 2025
Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom certifies application for Ballot Initiative 25USCV, advancing a voter citizenship requirement initiative
Nancy Dahlstrom jumps to 30%9%
Certification of a high-profile ballot initiative under her office may have temporarily boosted confidence in her leadership and political influence.
Oct 2 2025
Dave Bronson officially announces candidacy for Alaska governor at a press event in Fairbanks, entering a crowded Republican primary field as a former Anchorage mayor with
David Bronson plunges to 2%48%
Dave Bronson officially announces candidacy for Alaska governor at a press event in Fairbanks, entering a crowded Republican primary field as a former Anchorage mayor with executive experience
Sep 10 2025
Wilson selects former State Senator Mike Shower as running mate, bolstering campaign with his military and legislative experience
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 23%5%
Wilson selects former State Senator Mike Shower as running mate, bolstering campaign with his military and legislative experience
Aug 24 2025
Nancy Dahlstrom withdraws from Alaska U.S. House race after placing third in primary, consolidating Republican support behind Nick Begich
This withdrawal clarified her focus on the gubernatorial race but may have tempered enthusiasm as she stepped back from a federal office bid.
Aug 15 2025
Tom Begich announces candidacy for Alaska governor
Tom Begich plunges to 9%41%
Begich officially declared his run for governor as the first Democrat in the race, setting the initial market interest. However, the large Republican field and uncertainty about his chances caused a sharp drop in.
May 13 2025
Bernadette Wilson formally announces candidacy for Alaska governor, emphasizing her business background and outsider status
Bernadette Wilson formally announces candidacy for Alaska governor, emphasizing her business background and outsider status
May 5 2025
Nancy Dahlstrom files letter of intent to run for Alaska governor, officially entering the 2026 race and signaling her candidacy to the public
Nancy Dahlstrom plunges to 21%29%
Her formal step to run likely caused initial market re-evaluation and a sharp
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Questions fréquentes
« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Tom Begich » à 36%, suivi de « Bernadette Wilson » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 36¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.
À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » a généré $948.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.
Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.
Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » est « Tom Begich » à 36%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Bernadette Wilson » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.
Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.
Oui. Vous n'avez pas besoin de trader pour rester informé. Cette page sert de suivi en direct pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska ». Les probabilités des résultats sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que de nouvelles transactions arrivent. Vous pouvez ajouter cette page à vos favoris et consulter la section commentaires pour voir ce que disent les autres traders. Vous pouvez également utiliser les filtres de plage temporelle sur le graphique pour voir comment les cotes ont évolué au fil du temps.
Les cotes de Polymarket sont fixées par de vrais traders qui mettent de l'argent réel derrière leurs convictions, ce qui tend à produire des prédictions précises. Avec $948.7K échangés sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska », ces prix agrègent les connaissances collectives et la conviction de milliers de participants — surpassant souvent les sondages, les prévisions d’experts et les enquêtes traditionnelles. Les marchés de prédiction comme Polymarket ont un solide historique de précision, surtout à mesure que les événements approchent de leur date de résolution. Par exemple, Polymarket a un score de précision sur un mois de 94%. Pour les dernières statistiques sur la précision des prédictions de Polymarket, visitez la page de précision sur Polymarket.
Pour placer votre première transaction sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska », inscrivez-vous pour un compte Polymarket gratuit et approvisionnez-le en utilisant des cryptomonnaies, une carte de crédit ou débit, ou un virement bancaire. Une fois votre compte approvisionné, revenez sur cette page, sélectionnez le résultat sur lequel vous souhaitez trader, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous êtes nouveau dans les marchés de prédiction, cliquez sur le lien « Comment ça marche » en haut de n'importe quelle page Polymarket pour un guide étape par étape.
Sur Polymarket, le prix de chaque résultat représente la probabilité implicite du marché. Un prix de 36¢ pour « Tom Begich » sur le marché « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » signifie que les traders estiment collectivement qu'il y a environ une probabilité de 36% que « Tom Begich » sera le résultat correct. Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » à 36¢ et que le résultat est correct, vous recevez $1,00 par part — un gain de 64¢ par part. S'il est incorrect, ces parts valent $0.
Le marché « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » est prévu pour être résolu autour du Nov 3, 2026. Cela signifie que le trading restera ouvert et les cotes continueront d'évoluer jusqu'à cette date. Le moment exact de la résolution dépend de la disponibilité du résultat officiel, comme décrit dans la section « Règles ».
Le marché « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » a été récemment créé. Soyez l'un des premiers à partager votre analyse en postant un commentaire ci-dessous, ou revenez plus tard. Vous pouvez également consulter l'onglet « Activité » pour un flux en temps réel des transactions récentes.
Polymarket est le plus grand marché de prédiction au monde, où vous pouvez rester informé et profiter de vos connaissances sur les événements du monde réel. Les traders achètent et vendent des parts sur des résultats allant de la politique et des élections aux cryptomonnaies, finances, sports, technologie et culture, y compris des marchés comme « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska ». Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel soutenues par une conviction financière, fournissant souvent des signaux plus rapides et plus précis que les sondages, les commentateurs ou les enquêtes traditionnelles.
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