Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 180-199 X updates from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET at 61.1% implied probability, reflecting his established April 2026 cadence of 23-27 posts per day as tracked by xtracker analytics, with 158 total so far after nearly seven days. Recent spikes—48 posts on April 25 and 40 on April 27—coincided with Musk's OpenAI trial testimony starting April 27 and SpaceX Falcon Heavy/ViaSat-3 launches on April 29, boosting early volume, while a post-event lull dropped output to 10-13 daily on April 28-30. Bettors anticipate a rebound to average pace, including a potential uptick from scheduled Starlink missions May 1, positioning 200-219 (20.5%) as the next likely bin amid historical weekly totals like 200-219 for April 17-24.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourElon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
180-199 61.1%
200-219 21%
160-179 16.4%
220-239 2.5%
$11,319,407 Vol.
$11,319,407 Vol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
16%
180-199
61%
200-219
21%
220-239
2%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
180-199 61.1%
200-219 21%
160-179 16.4%
220-239 2.5%
$11,319,407 Vol.
$11,319,407 Vol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
16%
180-199
61%
200-219
21%
220-239
2%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 180-199 X updates from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET at 61.1% implied probability, reflecting his established April 2026 cadence of 23-27 posts per day as tracked by xtracker analytics, with 158 total so far after nearly seven days. Recent spikes—48 posts on April 25 and 40 on April 27—coincided with Musk's OpenAI trial testimony starting April 27 and SpaceX Falcon Heavy/ViaSat-3 launches on April 29, boosting early volume, while a post-event lull dropped output to 10-13 daily on April 28-30. Bettors anticipate a rebound to average pace, including a potential uptick from scheduled Starlink missions May 1, positioning 200-219 (20.5%) as the next likely bin amid historical weekly totals like 200-219 for April 17-24.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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