Finland commands trader consensus as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner at 35% implied probability, with Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—UMK winners blending violin spectacle and pop catchiness—dominating fan polls, bookmakers, and balanced jury-televote mockups since February. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), at 16%, surges on televote firepower from pre-party live shows, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") climbs to 13% via recent jury poll wins and odds momentum post-pre-party circuit. France's internal pick Monroe ("Regarde!") lags at 9% as a sophisticated jury play amid a fragmented field. Rehearsals kick off this week in Vienna, with semi-final running orders set, priming rapid shifts before the May 16 grand final.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLauréat de l'Eurovision 2026
Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026
Finlande 34.8%
Grèce 16.1%
Danemark 12.6%
France 9.0%
$123,612,791 Vol.
$123,612,791 Vol.

Finlande
35%

Grèce
16%

Danemark
13%

France
9%

Australie
6%

Israël
5%

Suède
3%

Italie
3%

Roumanie
3%

Ukraine
1%

Malte
1%

Chypre
1%

Tchéquie
1%

Bulgarie
1%

Croatie
1%

Moldavie
1%

Allemagne
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Norvège
<1%

Belgique
<1%

Lituanie
<1%

Serbie
<1%

Suisse
<1%

Royaume-Uni
<1%

Albanie
<1%

Autriche
<1%

Estonie
<1%

Lettonie
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Arménie
<1%

Azerbaïdjan
<1%

Géorgie
<1%

Pologne
<1%

Saint-Marin
<1%

Monténégro
<1%
Finlande 34.8%
Grèce 16.1%
Danemark 12.6%
France 9.0%
$123,612,791 Vol.
$123,612,791 Vol.

Finlande
35%

Grèce
16%

Danemark
13%

France
9%

Australie
6%

Israël
5%

Suède
3%

Italie
3%

Roumanie
3%

Ukraine
1%

Malte
1%

Chypre
1%

Tchéquie
1%

Bulgarie
1%

Croatie
1%

Moldavie
1%

Allemagne
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Norvège
<1%

Belgique
<1%

Lituanie
<1%

Serbie
<1%

Suisse
<1%

Royaume-Uni
<1%

Albanie
<1%

Autriche
<1%

Estonie
<1%

Lettonie
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Arménie
<1%

Azerbaïdjan
<1%

Géorgie
<1%

Pologne
<1%

Saint-Marin
<1%

Monténégro
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland commands trader consensus as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner at 35% implied probability, with Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—UMK winners blending violin spectacle and pop catchiness—dominating fan polls, bookmakers, and balanced jury-televote mockups since February. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), at 16%, surges on televote firepower from pre-party live shows, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") climbs to 13% via recent jury poll wins and odds momentum post-pre-party circuit. France's internal pick Monroe ("Regarde!") lags at 9% as a sophisticated jury play amid a fragmented field. Rehearsals kick off this week in Vienna, with semi-final running orders set, priming rapid shifts before the May 16 grand final.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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