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icon for Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

icon for Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

Finlande 34.8%

Grèce 16.1%

Danemark 12.6%

France 9.0%

Polymarket

$123,612,791 Vol.

Finlande 34.8%

Grèce 16.1%

Danemark 12.6%

France 9.0%

Polymarket

$123,612,791 Vol.

icon for Finlande

Finlande

$4,073,933 Vol.

35%

icon for Grèce

Grèce

$2,348,061 Vol.

16%

icon for Danemark

Danemark

$1,885,524 Vol.

13%

icon for France

France

$2,443,693 Vol.

9%

icon for Australie

Australie

$2,035,408 Vol.

6%

icon for Israël

Israël

$2,102,737 Vol.

5%

icon for Suède

Suède

$1,711,988 Vol.

3%

icon for Italie

Italie

$2,842,540 Vol.

3%

icon for Roumanie

Roumanie

$2,020,199 Vol.

3%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$2,001,883 Vol.

1%

icon for Malte

Malte

$2,724,962 Vol.

1%

icon for Chypre

Chypre

$1,945,045 Vol.

1%

icon for Tchéquie

Tchéquie

$1,488,503 Vol.

1%

icon for Bulgarie

Bulgarie

$2,139,907 Vol.

1%

icon for Croatie

Croatie

$2,851,649 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldavie

Moldavie

$2,787,279 Vol.

1%

icon for Allemagne

Allemagne

$2,608,104 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$2,885,131 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norvège

Norvège

$3,598,994 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgique

Belgique

$3,228,469 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituanie

Lituanie

$4,025,660 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbie

Serbie

$3,968,310 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suisse

Suisse

$4,614,931 Vol.

<1%

icon for Royaume-Uni

Royaume-Uni

$2,691,502 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albanie

Albanie

$5,381,300 Vol.

<1%

icon for Autriche

Autriche

$6,340,987 Vol.

<1%

icon for Estonie

Estonie

$5,506,849 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lettonie

Lettonie

$4,614,380 Vol.

<1%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$4,643,132 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arménie

Arménie

$5,410,799 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaïdjan

Azerbaïdjan

$5,381,312 Vol.

<1%

icon for Géorgie

Géorgie

$5,516,052 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pologne

Pologne

$4,787,955 Vol.

<1%

icon for Saint-Marin

Saint-Marin

$5,504,332 Vol.

<1%

icon for Monténégro

Monténégro

$5,502,762 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland commands trader consensus as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner at 35% implied probability, with Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—UMK winners blending violin spectacle and pop catchiness—dominating fan polls, bookmakers, and balanced jury-televote mockups since February. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), at 16%, surges on televote firepower from pre-party live shows, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") climbs to 13% via recent jury poll wins and odds momentum post-pre-party circuit. France's internal pick Monroe ("Regarde!") lags at 9% as a sophisticated jury play amid a fragmented field. Rehearsals kick off this week in Vienna, with semi-final running orders set, priming rapid shifts before the May 16 grand final.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$123,612,791
Date de fin
16 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland commands trader consensus as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner at 35% implied probability, with Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—UMK winners blending violin spectacle and pop catchiness—dominating fan polls, bookmakers, and balanced jury-televote mockups since February. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), at 16%, surges on televote firepower from pre-party live shows, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") climbs to 13% via recent jury poll wins and odds momentum post-pre-party circuit. France's internal pick Monroe ("Regarde!") lags at 9% as a sophisticated jury play amid a fragmented field. Rehearsals kick off this week in Vienna, with semi-final running orders set, priming rapid shifts before the May 16 grand final.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$123,612,791
Date de fin
16 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Questions fréquentes

« Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 35 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Finlande » à 35%, suivi de « Grèce » à 16%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 35¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » a généré $123.6 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 6, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 », parcourez les 35 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » est « Finlande » à 35%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Grèce » à 16%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.