The U.S. Department of Justice's April 25 decision to drop its criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 96.4% implied probability of no federal charges by June 30, as no evidence of wrongdoing materialized despite earlier subpoenas over Fed renovations and policy decisions. Judicial blocks, including by U.S. District Judge James Boasberg, had already hampered the Trump administration's investigation, viewed by some as politically motivated amid tensions over interest rates. Powell's term expires May 15, further reducing risks, though a successor's Senate confirmation process looms. Realistic shifts would require fresh, verifiable evidence prompting a reopened DOJ case, an improbable scenario given the closure and institutional barriers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$263,206 Vol.
$263,206 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$263,206 Vol.
$263,206 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. Department of Justice's April 25 decision to drop its criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 96.4% implied probability of no federal charges by June 30, as no evidence of wrongdoing materialized despite earlier subpoenas over Fed renovations and policy decisions. Judicial blocks, including by U.S. District Judge James Boasberg, had already hampered the Trump administration's investigation, viewed by some as politically motivated amid tensions over interest rates. Powell's term expires May 15, further reducing risks, though a successor's Senate confirmation process looms. Realistic shifts would require fresh, verifiable evidence prompting a reopened DOJ case, an improbable scenario given the closure and institutional barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Volume
$263,206Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. Department of Justice's April 25 decision to drop its criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 96.4% implied probability of no federal charges by June 30, as no evidence of wrongdoing materialized despite earlier subpoenas over Fed renovations and policy decisions. Judicial blocks, including by U.S. District Judge James Boasberg, had already hampered the Trump administration's investigation, viewed by some as politically motivated amid tensions over interest rates. Powell's term expires May 15, further reducing risks, though a successor's Senate confirmation process looms. Realistic shifts would require fresh, verifiable evidence prompting a reopened DOJ case, an improbable scenario given the closure and institutional barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$263,206Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Department of Justice's April 25 decision to drop its criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 96.4% implied probability of no federal charges by June 30, as no evidence of wrongdoing materialized despite earlier subpoenas over Fed renovations and policy decisions. Judicial blocks, including by U.S. District Judge James Boasberg, had already hampered the Trump administration's investigation, viewed by some as politically motivated amid tensions over interest rates. Powell's term expires May 15, further reducing risks, though a successor's Senate confirmation process looms. Realistic shifts would require fresh, verifiable evidence prompting a reopened DOJ case, an improbable scenario given the closure and institutional barriers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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