Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Mexico's 2026 annual inflation in a tight race, with 3.50%-3.99% (33.3%) edging 3.00%-3.49% (30.1%), while 4.00%-4.49% and 5.50%+ each hold 26.5%, reflecting uncertainty over disinflation pace amid sticky headline rates near 4.5%. Recent INEGI data showed annual inflation easing marginally to 4.53% in early April from March's 4.59% peak, supported by softer core pressures at 4.45%, yet above Banxico's 3% target. The central bank's surprise 25-basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26 signaled easing tolerance despite upticks, aligning with economist surveys forecasting 3.8%-3.9% year-end. Key swing factors include food price volatility and U.S. spillovers; watch April CPI and Banxico's May 7 decision for resolution signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour4,00 % à 4,49 % 39%
3,00 % à 3,49 % 30.1%
5,50 %+ 12%
4,50 % à 4,99 % 6%
$34,999 Vol.
$34,999 Vol.
8 janv. 2027
<2,50 %
4%
2,50 % à 2,99 %
3%
3,00 % à 3,49 %
30%
3,50 % à 3,99 %
33%
4,00 % à 4,49 %
29%
4,50 % à 4,99 %
6%
5,00 % à 5,49 %
5%
5,50 %+
27%
4,00 % à 4,49 % 39%
3,00 % à 3,49 % 30.1%
5,50 %+ 12%
4,50 % à 4,99 % 6%
$34,999 Vol.
$34,999 Vol.
8 janv. 2027
<2,50 %
$0 Vol.
4%
2,50 % à 2,99 %
$0 Vol.
3%
3,00 % à 3,49 %
$25,781 Vol.
30%
3,50 % à 3,99 %
$348 Vol.
33%
4,00 % à 4,49 %
$403 Vol.
29%
4,50 % à 4,99 %
$3,094 Vol.
6%
5,00 % à 5,49 %
$401 Vol.
5%
5,50 %+
$4,972 Vol.
27%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioTrader consensus on Polymarket prices Mexico's 2026 annual inflation in a tight race, with 3.50%-3.99% (33.3%) edging 3.00%-3.49% (30.1%), while 4.00%-4.49% and 5.50%+ each hold 26.5%, reflecting uncertainty over disinflation pace amid sticky headline rates near 4.5%. Recent INEGI data showed annual inflation easing marginally to 4.53% in early April from March's 4.59% peak, supported by softer core pressures at 4.45%, yet above Banxico's 3% target. The central bank's surprise 25-basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26 signaled easing tolerance despite upticks, aligning with economist surveys forecasting 3.8%-3.9% year-end. Key swing factors include food price volatility and U.S. spillovers; watch April CPI and Banxico's May 7 decision for resolution signals.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Marché ouvert : Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$34,999Date de fin
8 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioTrader consensus on Polymarket prices Mexico's 2026 annual inflation in a tight race, with 3.50%-3.99% (33.3%) edging 3.00%-3.49% (30.1%), while 4.00%-4.49% and 5.50%+ each hold 26.5%, reflecting uncertainty over disinflation pace amid sticky headline rates near 4.5%. Recent INEGI data showed annual inflation easing marginally to 4.53% in early April from March's 4.59% peak, supported by softer core pressures at 4.45%, yet above Banxico's 3% target. The central bank's surprise 25-basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26 signaled easing tolerance despite upticks, aligning with economist surveys forecasting 3.8%-3.9% year-end. Key swing factors include food price volatility and U.S. spillovers; watch April CPI and Banxico's May 7 decision for resolution signals.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Volume
$34,999Date de fin
8 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Mexico's 2026 annual inflation in a tight race, with 3.50%-3.99% (33.3%) edging 3.00%-3.49% (30.1%), while 4.00%-4.49% and 5.50%+ each hold 26.5%, reflecting uncertainty over disinflation pace amid sticky headline rates near 4.5%. Recent INEGI data showed annual inflation easing marginally to 4.53% in early April from March's 4.59% peak, supported by softer core pressures at 4.45%, yet above Banxico's 3% target. The central bank's surprise 25-basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26 signaled easing tolerance despite upticks, aligning with economist surveys forecasting 3.8%-3.9% year-end. Key swing factors include food price volatility and U.S. spillovers; watch April CPI and Banxico's May 7 decision for resolution signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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