Following expulsions of Iranian diplomats in March and early April—including Saudi Arabia's ouster of Tehran's military attaché and deputy in Riyadh over a security breach on March 21, the U.S. disclosure of quietly expelling deputy UN ambassador Saadat Aghajani last December, and Argentina declaring top envoy Mohsen Soltani Tehrani persona non grata on April 4—trader sentiment has shifted toward de-escalation. No new intelligence reports of Iranian plots, sanctions, or diplomatic ruptures have emerged in the past three weeks, despite Iran's foreign minister's fruitless trip to Pakistan amid collapsed U.S. talks. This lull drives the 76.5% "No" consensus, with barriers like cooling Gulf tensions and lack of fresh catalysts reducing odds of another action by June 30.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
नया
नया
30 जून, 2026
नया
नया
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Following expulsions of Iranian diplomats in March and early April—including Saudi Arabia's ouster of Tehran's military attaché and deputy in Riyadh over a security breach on March 21, the U.S. disclosure of quietly expelling deputy UN ambassador Saadat Aghajani last December, and Argentina declaring top envoy Mohsen Soltani Tehrani persona non grata on April 4—trader sentiment has shifted toward de-escalation. No new intelligence reports of Iranian plots, sanctions, or diplomatic ruptures have emerged in the past three weeks, despite Iran's foreign minister's fruitless trip to Pakistan amid collapsed U.S. talks. This lull drives the 76.5% "No" consensus, with barriers like cooling Gulf tensions and lack of fresh catalysts reducing odds of another action by June 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Following expulsions of Iranian diplomats in March and early April—including Saudi Arabia's ouster of Tehran's military attaché and deputy in Riyadh over a security breach on March 21, the U.S. disclosure of quietly expelling deputy UN ambassador Saadat Aghajani last December, and Argentina declaring top envoy Mohsen Soltani Tehrani persona non grata on April 4—trader sentiment has shifted toward de-escalation. No new intelligence reports of Iranian plots, sanctions, or diplomatic ruptures have emerged in the past three weeks, despite Iran's foreign minister's fruitless trip to Pakistan amid collapsed U.S. talks. This lull drives the 76.5% "No" consensus, with barriers like cooling Gulf tensions and lack of fresh catalysts reducing odds of another action by June 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$14समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following expulsions of Iranian diplomats in March and early April—including Saudi Arabia's ouster of Tehran's military attaché and deputy in Riyadh over a security breach on March 21, the U.S. disclosure of quietly expelling deputy UN ambassador Saadat Aghajani last December, and Argentina declaring top envoy Mohsen Soltani Tehrani persona non grata on April 4—trader sentiment has shifted toward de-escalation. No new intelligence reports of Iranian plots, sanctions, or diplomatic ruptures have emerged in the past three weeks, despite Iran's foreign minister's fruitless trip to Pakistan amid collapsed U.S. talks. This lull drives the 76.5% "No" consensus, with barriers like cooling Gulf tensions and lack of fresh catalysts reducing odds of another action by June 30.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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