With qualifiers wrapped in late March and groups drawn, trader consensus bunches top probabilities amid injury uncertainties and the expanded 48-team format's volatility. France holds a slim edge at 16% implied probability on Kylian Mbappé's club form and Nations League dominance, despite fitness doubts, while Spain (15.3%) mirrors that via Euro champions' cohesion and Yamal's expected recovery from a hamstring tear. England (11.1%) gains from squad depth post-solid UEFA campaign, Argentina (8.6%) rides CONMEBOL table-topping 38 points as defending champs, and Brazil (8.6%) rebounds via recent wins despite Rodrygo's absence. Tough group paths and cross-continental travel heighten upset potential for all favorites.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Pemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Prancis 16.0%
Spanyol 15.3%
Inggris 11.1%
Argentina 8.6%
$955,313,267 Vol.
$955,313,267 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
Prancis
16%
Spanyol
15%
Inggris
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
3%
Norwegia
2%
Jepang
2%
Belgia
2%
Maroko
2%
Kolombia
2%
Amerika Serikat
2%
Uruguay
1%
Meksiko
1%
Croatia
1%
Swiss
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Kanada
1%
Turki
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Iran
<1%
Prancis 16.0%
Spanyol 15.3%
Inggris 11.1%
Argentina 8.6%
$955,313,267 Vol.
$955,313,267 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
Prancis
$26,589,450 Vol.
16%
Spanyol
$18,699,635 Vol.
15%
Inggris
$15,048,756 Vol.
11%
Argentina
$16,377,522 Vol.
9%
Brasil
$17,105,048 Vol.
9%
Portugal
$17,178,783 Vol.
7%
Jerman
$14,474,877 Vol.
5%
Belanda
$16,466,766 Vol.
3%
Norwegia
$15,238,688 Vol.
2%
Jepang
$18,333,718 Vol.
2%
Belgia
$14,864,856 Vol.
2%
Maroko
$18,381,958 Vol.
2%
Kolombia
$13,861,623 Vol.
2%
Amerika Serikat
$30,874,426 Vol.
2%
Uruguay
$15,360,065 Vol.
1%
Meksiko
$16,777,722 Vol.
1%
Croatia
$17,515,709 Vol.
1%
Swiss
$14,235,534 Vol.
1%
Ekuador
$18,340,195 Vol.
1%
Senegal
$16,376,938 Vol.
1%
Kanada
$24,637,336 Vol.
1%
Turki
$8,173,787 Vol.
1%
Austria
$16,830,711 Vol.
1%
Sweden
$8,202,978 Vol.
1%
Korea Selatan
$21,766,167 Vol.
<1%
Paraguay
$18,004,200 Vol.
<1%
Pantai Gading
$23,276,537 Vol.
<1%
Egypt
$25,302,894 Vol.
<1%
Aljazair
$23,201,193 Vol.
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
$12,289,895 Vol.
<1%
Skotlandia
$16,786,546 Vol.
<1%
Tunisia
$23,703,665 Vol.
<1%
Czechia
$8,872,423 Vol.
<1%
Selandia Baru
$29,988,461 Vol.
<1%
Yordania
$26,981,575 Vol.
<1%
Curaçao
$36,812,703 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$16,137,123 Vol.
<1%
Uzbekistan
$39,518,545 Vol.
<1%
Panama
$14,481,449 Vol.
<1%
Irak
$14,712,110 Vol.
<1%
Afrika Selatan
$25,355,216 Vol.
<1%
Kongo DR
$16,367,323 Vol.
<1%
Tanjung Verde
$23,914,574 Vol.
<1%
Qatar
$26,062,247 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$22,503,739 Vol.
<1%
Saudi Arabia
$27,347,999 Vol.
<1%
Haiti
$16,365,176 Vol.
<1%
Iran
$26,713,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With qualifiers wrapped in late March and groups drawn, trader consensus bunches top probabilities amid injury uncertainties and the expanded 48-team format's volatility. France holds a slim edge at 16% implied probability on Kylian Mbappé's club form and Nations League dominance, despite fitness doubts, while Spain (15.3%) mirrors that via Euro champions' cohesion and Yamal's expected recovery from a hamstring tear. England (11.1%) gains from squad depth post-solid UEFA campaign, Argentina (8.6%) rides CONMEBOL table-topping 38 points as defending champs, and Brazil (8.6%) rebounds via recent wins despite Rodrygo's absence. Tough group paths and cross-continental travel heighten upset potential for all favorites.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$955,313,267Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With qualifiers wrapped in late March and groups drawn, trader consensus bunches top probabilities amid injury uncertainties and the expanded 48-team format's volatility. France holds a slim edge at 16% implied probability on Kylian Mbappé's club form and Nations League dominance, despite fitness doubts, while Spain (15.3%) mirrors that via Euro champions' cohesion and Yamal's expected recovery from a hamstring tear. England (11.1%) gains from squad depth post-solid UEFA campaign, Argentina (8.6%) rides CONMEBOL table-topping 38 points as defending champs, and Brazil (8.6%) rebounds via recent wins despite Rodrygo's absence. Tough group paths and cross-continental travel heighten upset potential for all favorites.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$955,313,267Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With qualifiers wrapped in late March and groups drawn, trader consensus bunches top probabilities amid injury uncertainties and the expanded 48-team format's volatility. France holds a slim edge at 16% implied probability on Kylian Mbappé's club form and Nations League dominance, despite fitness doubts, while Spain (15.3%) mirrors that via Euro champions' cohesion and Yamal's expected recovery from a hamstring tear. England (11.1%) gains from squad depth post-solid UEFA campaign, Argentina (8.6%) rides CONMEBOL table-topping 38 points as defending champs, and Brazil (8.6%) rebounds via recent wins despite Rodrygo's absence. Tough group paths and cross-continental travel heighten upset potential for all favorites.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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