With six days elapsed in the April 24–May 1 window as of April 30 morning, Elon Musk has posted 158 times on X, averaging 26 per day—a pace consistent with the prior week's 200–219 total that resolved prior markets higher. Traders price 180–199 as the frontrunner at 68% implied probability, reflecting sustained high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, xAI developments, and political commentary, tempered by variable daily outputs like 31 posts on April 24 and 22 on April 28. The 200–219 bin trails at 22.5% amid expectations of a modest weekend slowdown before May 1 resolution, underscoring crowd wisdom on his routine posting cadence without major catalysts for acceleration.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiElon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
180-199 71.2%
200-219 21%
160-179 8.5%
220-239 2.1%
$11,488,432 Vol.
$11,488,432 Vol.
May 1, 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
9%
180-199
71%
200-219
21%
220-239
2%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
180-199 71.2%
200-219 21%
160-179 8.5%
220-239 2.1%
$11,488,432 Vol.
$11,488,432 Vol.
May 1, 2026
140-159
$2,859,356 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$1,349,431 Vol.
9%
180-199
$682,676 Vol.
71%
200-219
$586,418 Vol.
21%
220-239
$594,015 Vol.
2%
240-259
$538,799 Vol.
1%
260-279
$464,761 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$506,141 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$514,110 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$475,587 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$404,182 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$314,683 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$339,890 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$209,639 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$133,153 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$161,804 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$122,331 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$106,549 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$96,077 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$81,186 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$57,312 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$69,027 Vol.
<1%
580+
$164,263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.With six days elapsed in the April 24–May 1 window as of April 30 morning, Elon Musk has posted 158 times on X, averaging 26 per day—a pace consistent with the prior week's 200–219 total that resolved prior markets higher. Traders price 180–199 as the frontrunner at 68% implied probability, reflecting sustained high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, xAI developments, and political commentary, tempered by variable daily outputs like 31 posts on April 24 and 22 on April 28. The 200–219 bin trails at 22.5% amid expectations of a modest weekend slowdown before May 1 resolution, underscoring crowd wisdom on his routine posting cadence without major catalysts for acceleration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$11,488,432Tanggal Berakhir
May 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.With six days elapsed in the April 24–May 1 window as of April 30 morning, Elon Musk has posted 158 times on X, averaging 26 per day—a pace consistent with the prior week's 200–219 total that resolved prior markets higher. Traders price 180–199 as the frontrunner at 68% implied probability, reflecting sustained high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, xAI developments, and political commentary, tempered by variable daily outputs like 31 posts on April 24 and 22 on April 28. The 200–219 bin trails at 22.5% amid expectations of a modest weekend slowdown before May 1 resolution, underscoring crowd wisdom on his routine posting cadence without major catalysts for acceleration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$11,488,432Tanggal Berakhir
May 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...With six days elapsed in the April 24–May 1 window as of April 30 morning, Elon Musk has posted 158 times on X, averaging 26 per day—a pace consistent with the prior week's 200–219 total that resolved prior markets higher. Traders price 180–199 as the frontrunner at 68% implied probability, reflecting sustained high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, xAI developments, and political commentary, tempered by variable daily outputs like 31 posts on April 24 and 22 on April 28. The 200–219 bin trails at 22.5% amid expectations of a modest weekend slowdown before May 1 resolution, underscoring crowd wisdom on his routine posting cadence without major catalysts for acceleration.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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