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PolitikΒ·Pemilihan Umum Global

Pemenang Pemilu Majelis Legislatif Tamil Nadu

icon for Pemenang Pemilu Majelis Legislatif Tamil Nadu
PolitikΒ·Pemilihan Umum Global

Pemenang Pemilu Majelis Legislatif Tamil Nadu

DMKΒ 85%

ADMKΒ 8.4%

TVKΒ 8.2%

AITCΒ <1%

Polymarket

$19,978,202 Vol.

DMKΒ 85%

ADMKΒ 8.4%

TVKΒ 8.2%

AITCΒ <1%

Polymarket

$19,978,202 Vol.

icon for DMK

DMK

$282,947 Vol.

85%

icon for ADMK

ADMK

$684,168 Vol.

8%

icon for TVK

TVK

$826,435 Vol.

8%

icon for AITC

AITC

$60,023 Vol.

<1%

icon for CPI(M)

CPI(M)

$54,893 Vol.

<1%

icon for DMDK

DMDK

$25,133 Vol.

<1%

icon for BSP

BSP

$26,455 Vol.

<1%

icon for CPI

CPI

$23,075 Vol.

<1%

icon for INC

INC

$17,860,006 Vol.

<1%

icon for NPEP

NPEP

$43,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for BJP

BJP

$63,182 Vol.

<1%

icon for NCP

NCP

$28,306 Vol.

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance holds a commanding trader consensus at 85% implied probability to win the most seats following April 23 polling with record 85% turnout, driven by exit polls from P-Marq, People Pulse, Matrize, and Praja Poll projecting 122-168 seats for the alliance amid welfare scheme popularity and stable INDIA bloc ties including Congress and VCK. AIADMK-led NDA at 8.4% and debutant TVK at 8.3% reflect outlier surveys like Axis My India forecasting TVK's 98-120 seats or VoteVibe's narrow AIADMK+ edge, but fragmented opposition vote shares limit their paths to majority in the 234-seat assembly. Counting on May 4 will resolve uncertainties from regional battles in Chennai, Coimbatore, and delta districts.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Volume
$19,978,202
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance holds a commanding trader consensus at 85% implied probability to win the most seats following April 23 polling with record 85% turnout, driven by exit polls from P-Marq, People Pulse, Matrize, and Praja Poll projecting 122-168 seats for the alliance amid welfare scheme popularity and stable INDIA bloc ties including Congress and VCK. AIADMK-led NDA at 8.4% and debutant TVK at 8.3% reflect outlier surveys like Axis My India forecasting TVK's 98-120 seats or VoteVibe's narrow AIADMK+ edge, but fragmented opposition vote shares limit their paths to majority in the 234-seat assembly. Counting on May 4 will resolve uncertainties from regional battles in Chennai, Coimbatore, and delta districts.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Volume
$19,978,202
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Pemilu Majelis Legislatif Tamil Nadu" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 12 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "DMK" di 85%, diikuti oleh "ADMK" di 8%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 85Β’ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 85% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Pemilu Majelis Legislatif Tamil Nadu" telah menghasilkan $20 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 23, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Pemilu Majelis Legislatif Tamil Nadu," jelajahi 12 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Pemilu Majelis Legislatif Tamil Nadu" adalah "DMK" di 85%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 85% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "ADMK" di 8%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Pemilu Majelis Legislatif Tamil Nadu" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang β€” termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.