With qualifiers wrapped in late March and groups drawn, trader consensus bunches top probabilities amid injury uncertainties and the expanded 48-team format's volatility. France holds a slim edge at 16% implied probability on Kylian Mbappé's club form and Nations League dominance, despite fitness doubts, while Spain (15.3%) mirrors that via Euro champions' cohesion and Yamal's expected recovery from a hamstring tear. England (11.1%) gains from squad depth post-solid UEFA campaign, Argentina (8.6%) rides CONMEBOL table-topping 38 points as defending champs, and Brazil (8.6%) rebounds via recent wins despite Rodrygo's absence. Tough group paths and cross-continental travel heighten upset potential for all favorites.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFrancia 16.0%
Spagna 15.3%
Inghilterra 11.1%
Argentina 8.6%
$955,313,267 Vol.
$955,313,267 Vol.
20 lug 2026
Francia
16%
Spagna
15%
Inghilterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasile
9%
Portogallo
7%
Germania
5%
Paesi Bassi
3%
Norvegia
2%
Giappone
2%
Belgio
2%
Marocco
2%
Colombia
2%
Stati Uniti
2%
Uruguay
1%
Messico
1%
Croazia
1%
Svizzera
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Canada
1%
Turchia
1%
Austria
1%
Svezia
1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Costa d'Avorio
<1%
Egitto
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%
Scozia
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Cechia
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
<1%
Giordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Sudafrica
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%
Capo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Iran
<1%
Francia 16.0%
Spagna 15.3%
Inghilterra 11.1%
Argentina 8.6%
$955,313,267 Vol.
$955,313,267 Vol.
20 lug 2026
Francia
$26,589,450 Vol.
16%
Spagna
$18,699,635 Vol.
15%
Inghilterra
$15,048,756 Vol.
11%
Argentina
$16,377,522 Vol.
9%
Brasile
$17,105,048 Vol.
9%
Portogallo
$17,178,783 Vol.
7%
Germania
$14,474,877 Vol.
5%
Paesi Bassi
$16,466,766 Vol.
3%
Norvegia
$15,238,688 Vol.
2%
Giappone
$18,333,718 Vol.
2%
Belgio
$14,864,856 Vol.
2%
Marocco
$18,381,958 Vol.
2%
Colombia
$13,861,623 Vol.
2%
Stati Uniti
$30,874,426 Vol.
2%
Uruguay
$15,360,065 Vol.
1%
Messico
$16,777,722 Vol.
1%
Croazia
$17,515,709 Vol.
1%
Svizzera
$14,235,534 Vol.
1%
Ecuador
$18,340,195 Vol.
1%
Senegal
$16,376,938 Vol.
1%
Canada
$24,637,336 Vol.
1%
Turchia
$8,173,787 Vol.
1%
Austria
$16,830,711 Vol.
1%
Svezia
$8,202,978 Vol.
1%
Corea del Sud
$21,766,167 Vol.
<1%
Paraguay
$18,004,200 Vol.
<1%
Costa d'Avorio
$23,276,537 Vol.
<1%
Egitto
$25,302,894 Vol.
<1%
Algeria
$23,201,193 Vol.
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
$12,289,895 Vol.
<1%
Scozia
$16,786,546 Vol.
<1%
Tunisia
$23,703,665 Vol.
<1%
Cechia
$8,872,423 Vol.
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
$29,988,461 Vol.
<1%
Giordania
$26,981,575 Vol.
<1%
Curaçao
$36,812,703 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$16,137,123 Vol.
<1%
Uzbekistan
$39,518,545 Vol.
<1%
Panama
$14,481,449 Vol.
<1%
Iraq
$14,712,110 Vol.
<1%
Sudafrica
$25,355,216 Vol.
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
$16,367,323 Vol.
<1%
Capo Verde
$23,914,574 Vol.
<1%
Qatar
$26,062,247 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$22,503,739 Vol.
<1%
Arabia Saudita
$27,347,999 Vol.
<1%
Haiti
$16,365,176 Vol.
<1%
Iran
$26,713,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With qualifiers wrapped in late March and groups drawn, trader consensus bunches top probabilities amid injury uncertainties and the expanded 48-team format's volatility. France holds a slim edge at 16% implied probability on Kylian Mbappé's club form and Nations League dominance, despite fitness doubts, while Spain (15.3%) mirrors that via Euro champions' cohesion and Yamal's expected recovery from a hamstring tear. England (11.1%) gains from squad depth post-solid UEFA campaign, Argentina (8.6%) rides CONMEBOL table-topping 38 points as defending champs, and Brazil (8.6%) rebounds via recent wins despite Rodrygo's absence. Tough group paths and cross-continental travel heighten upset potential for all favorites.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$955,313,267Data di fine
20 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With qualifiers wrapped in late March and groups drawn, trader consensus bunches top probabilities amid injury uncertainties and the expanded 48-team format's volatility. France holds a slim edge at 16% implied probability on Kylian Mbappé's club form and Nations League dominance, despite fitness doubts, while Spain (15.3%) mirrors that via Euro champions' cohesion and Yamal's expected recovery from a hamstring tear. England (11.1%) gains from squad depth post-solid UEFA campaign, Argentina (8.6%) rides CONMEBOL table-topping 38 points as defending champs, and Brazil (8.6%) rebounds via recent wins despite Rodrygo's absence. Tough group paths and cross-continental travel heighten upset potential for all favorites.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$955,313,267Data di fine
20 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With qualifiers wrapped in late March and groups drawn, trader consensus bunches top probabilities amid injury uncertainties and the expanded 48-team format's volatility. France holds a slim edge at 16% implied probability on Kylian Mbappé's club form and Nations League dominance, despite fitness doubts, while Spain (15.3%) mirrors that via Euro champions' cohesion and Yamal's expected recovery from a hamstring tear. England (11.1%) gains from squad depth post-solid UEFA campaign, Argentina (8.6%) rides CONMEBOL table-topping 38 points as defending champs, and Brazil (8.6%) rebounds via recent wins despite Rodrygo's absence. Tough group paths and cross-continental travel heighten upset potential for all favorites.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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