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Mondo·Elezioni Globali

Prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia

icon for Prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia
Mondo·Elezioni Globali

Prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia

Janez Janša 91.3%

Robert Golob 2.5%

Anže Logar 2.3%

Jernej Vrtovec 1.7%

Polymarket

$2,914,989 Vol.

Janez Janša 91.3%

Robert Golob 2.5%

Anže Logar 2.3%

Jernej Vrtovec 1.7%

Polymarket

$2,914,989 Vol.

icon for Janez Janša

Janez Janša

$730,746 Vol.

91%

icon for Robert Golob

Robert Golob

$649,354 Vol.

3%

icon for Anže Logar

Anže Logar

$982,408 Vol.

2%

icon for Jernej Vrtovec

Jernej Vrtovec

$190,809 Vol.

2%

icon for Matjaž Han

Matjaž Han

$20,169 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zoran Stevanović

Zoran Stevanović

$137,224 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Prebilič

Vladimir Prebilič

$181,146 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luka Mesec

Luka Mesec

$10,527 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matej Tonin

Matej Tonin

$12,606 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the narrow March 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election, where Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured 29 seats but failed coalition talks with center-left and moderate parties, outgoing Prime Minister Golob conceded on April 20, entering opposition. President Nataša Pirc Musar declined to nominate a prime minister-designate on April 25, tasking National Assembly factions with proposing a candidate able to command a 46-seat majority by early May. Janez Janša's commanding trader consensus stems from his Slovenian Democratic Party's 28 seats, past success forming three governments, and progressing right-wing coalition negotiations with New Slovenia's bloc and others, as evidenced by their support for Resni.ca's speaker election. Potential disruptions include deadlock over policy sticking points, Resni.ca's refusal to back Janša, or a compromise nominee like Anže Logar, risking snap elections.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,914,989
Data di fine
22 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the narrow March 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election, where Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured 29 seats but failed coalition talks with center-left and moderate parties, outgoing Prime Minister Golob conceded on April 20, entering opposition. President Nataša Pirc Musar declined to nominate a prime minister-designate on April 25, tasking National Assembly factions with proposing a candidate able to command a 46-seat majority by early May. Janez Janša's commanding trader consensus stems from his Slovenian Democratic Party's 28 seats, past success forming three governments, and progressing right-wing coalition negotiations with New Slovenia's bloc and others, as evidenced by their support for Resni.ca's speaker election. Potential disruptions include deadlock over policy sticking points, Resni.ca's refusal to back Janša, or a compromise nominee like Anže Logar, risking snap elections.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,914,989
Data di fine
22 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Janez Janša" a 91%, seguito da "Robert Golob" a 3%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 91¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 91% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia" ha generato $2.9 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 19, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia" è "Janez Janša" a 91%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 91% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Robert Golob" a 3%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Slovenia" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.