Trader consensus heavily favors no US-Iran diplomatic meeting before May 11 at 84.5%, reflecting stalled indirect negotiations mediated by Pakistan after the April 11-12 Islamabad round ended without agreement on nuclear enrichment, Strait of Hormuz reopening, or sanctions relief. Iranian officials stated on April 18 no date is set for the next round until a framework is agreed, while Tehran's April 28 proposal to reopen Hormuz in exchange for lifting the US naval blockade—postponing nuclear talks—drew US skepticism from President Trump and Secretary Rubio, who insist on zero enrichment. The fragile ceasefire and ongoing blockade heighten barriers, with no scheduled venue or timeline amid mutual maximalist demands.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No Meeting before May 11 85%
May 10 5.3%
May 5 2.4%
May 9 1.9%
$1,287,485 Vol.
$1,287,485 Vol.
2026/05/10
May 1
<1%
May 2
1%
May 3
1%
May 4
1%
May 5
2%
May 6
1%
May 7
1%
May 8
1%
May 9
2%
May 10
5%
No Meeting before May 11
85%
No Meeting before May 11 85%
May 10 5.3%
May 5 2.4%
May 9 1.9%
$1,287,485 Vol.
$1,287,485 Vol.
2026/05/10
May 1
$32,443 Vol.
<1%
May 2
$29,305 Vol.
1%
May 3
$24,083 Vol.
1%
May 4
$30,437 Vol.
1%
May 5
$27,023 Vol.
2%
May 6
$26,168 Vol.
1%
May 7
$25,811 Vol.
1%
May 8
$23,033 Vol.
1%
May 9
$27,202 Vol.
2%
May 10
$43,440 Vol.
5%
No Meeting before May 11
$373,667 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve according to the listed date (Pakistan Standard Time) on which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran occurs.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no US-Iran diplomatic meeting before May 11 at 84.5%, reflecting stalled indirect negotiations mediated by Pakistan after the April 11-12 Islamabad round ended without agreement on nuclear enrichment, Strait of Hormuz reopening, or sanctions relief. Iranian officials stated on April 18 no date is set for the next round until a framework is agreed, while Tehran's April 28 proposal to reopen Hormuz in exchange for lifting the US naval blockade—postponing nuclear talks—drew US skepticism from President Trump and Secretary Rubio, who insist on zero enrichment. The fragile ceasefire and ongoing blockade heighten barriers, with no scheduled venue or timeline amid mutual maximalist demands.
This market will resolve according to the listed date (Pakistan Standard Time) on which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran occurs.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 21, 2026, 7:19 PM ET
音量
$1,287,485終了日
2026/05/10マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date (Pakistan Standard Time) on which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran occurs.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no US-Iran diplomatic meeting before May 11 at 84.5%, reflecting stalled indirect negotiations mediated by Pakistan after the April 11-12 Islamabad round ended without agreement on nuclear enrichment, Strait of Hormuz reopening, or sanctions relief. Iranian officials stated on April 18 no date is set for the next round until a framework is agreed, while Tehran's April 28 proposal to reopen Hormuz in exchange for lifting the US naval blockade—postponing nuclear talks—drew US skepticism from President Trump and Secretary Rubio, who insist on zero enrichment. The fragile ceasefire and ongoing blockade heighten barriers, with no scheduled venue or timeline amid mutual maximalist demands.
This market will resolve according to the listed date (Pakistan Standard Time) on which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran occurs.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,287,485終了日
2026/05/10マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors no US-Iran diplomatic meeting before May 11 at 84.5%, reflecting stalled indirect negotiations mediated by Pakistan after the April 11-12 Islamabad round ended without agreement on nuclear enrichment, Strait of Hormuz reopening, or sanctions relief. Iranian officials stated on April 18 no date is set for the next round until a framework is agreed, while Tehran's April 28 proposal to reopen Hormuz in exchange for lifting the US naval blockade—postponing nuclear talks—drew US skepticism from President Trump and Secretary Rubio, who insist on zero enrichment. The fragile ceasefire and ongoing blockade heighten barriers, with no scheduled venue or timeline amid mutual maximalist demands.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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