Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 180-199 times on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his tracked pace of 158 posts through the first six days at a 26-per-day average, projecting a total around 182-188 barring a quiet final day. This aligns with the prior week's resolved market at 200-219 posts, underscoring his consistent high-volume engagement amid ongoing SpaceX launches, Tesla updates, and Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) commentary. Lower probabilities for 200-219 (15.5%) and 160-179 (9.7%) account for potential acceleration or moderation on May 1, with negligible odds above 220 given no recent spikes in activity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
180-199 74.0%
200-219 16%
160-179 9.8%
220-239 1.4%
$8,010,615 거래량
$8,010,615 거래량
160-179
10%
180-199
74%
200-219
16%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
180-199 74.0%
200-219 16%
160-179 9.8%
220-239 1.4%
$8,010,615 거래량
$8,010,615 거래량
160-179
10%
180-199
74%
200-219
16%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 180-199 times on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his tracked pace of 158 posts through the first six days at a 26-per-day average, projecting a total around 182-188 barring a quiet final day. This aligns with the prior week's resolved market at 200-219 posts, underscoring his consistent high-volume engagement amid ongoing SpaceX launches, Tesla updates, and Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) commentary. Lower probabilities for 200-219 (15.5%) and 160-179 (9.7%) account for potential acceleration or moderation on May 1, with negligible odds above 220 given no recent spikes in activity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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