With six days elapsed in the April 24–May 1 window as of April 30 morning, Elon Musk has posted 158 times on X, averaging 26 per day—a pace consistent with the prior week's 200–219 total that resolved prior markets higher. Traders price 180–199 as the frontrunner at 68% implied probability, reflecting sustained high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, xAI developments, and political commentary, tempered by variable daily outputs like 31 posts on April 24 and 22 on April 28. The 200–219 bin trails at 22.5% amid expectations of a modest weekend slowdown before May 1 resolution, underscoring crowd wisdom on his routine posting cadence without major catalysts for acceleration.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
180-199 71.2%
200-219 21%
160-179 8.5%
220-239 2.1%
$11,488,432 거래량
$11,488,432 거래량
2026.05.01
140-159
<1%
160-179
9%
180-199
71%
200-219
21%
220-239
2%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
180-199 71.2%
200-219 21%
160-179 8.5%
220-239 2.1%
$11,488,432 거래량
$11,488,432 거래량
2026.05.01
140-159
$2,859,356 거래량
<1%
160-179
$1,349,431 거래량
9%
180-199
$682,676 거래량
71%
200-219
$586,418 거래량
21%
220-239
$594,015 거래량
2%
240-259
$538,799 거래량
1%
260-279
$464,761 거래량
<1%
280-299
$506,141 거래량
<1%
300-319
$514,110 거래량
<1%
320-339
$475,587 거래량
<1%
340-359
$404,182 거래량
<1%
360-379
$314,683 거래량
<1%
380-399
$339,890 거래량
<1%
400-419
$209,639 거래량
<1%
420-439
$133,153 거래량
<1%
440-459
$161,804 거래량
<1%
460-479
$122,331 거래량
<1%
480-499
$106,549 거래량
<1%
500-519
$96,077 거래량
<1%
520-539
$81,186 거래량
<1%
540-559
$57,312 거래량
<1%
560-579
$69,027 거래량
<1%
580+
$164,263 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.With six days elapsed in the April 24–May 1 window as of April 30 morning, Elon Musk has posted 158 times on X, averaging 26 per day—a pace consistent with the prior week's 200–219 total that resolved prior markets higher. Traders price 180–199 as the frontrunner at 68% implied probability, reflecting sustained high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, xAI developments, and political commentary, tempered by variable daily outputs like 31 posts on April 24 and 22 on April 28. The 200–219 bin trails at 22.5% amid expectations of a modest weekend slowdown before May 1 resolution, underscoring crowd wisdom on his routine posting cadence without major catalysts for acceleration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$11,488,432종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.With six days elapsed in the April 24–May 1 window as of April 30 morning, Elon Musk has posted 158 times on X, averaging 26 per day—a pace consistent with the prior week's 200–219 total that resolved prior markets higher. Traders price 180–199 as the frontrunner at 68% implied probability, reflecting sustained high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, xAI developments, and political commentary, tempered by variable daily outputs like 31 posts on April 24 and 22 on April 28. The 200–219 bin trails at 22.5% amid expectations of a modest weekend slowdown before May 1 resolution, underscoring crowd wisdom on his routine posting cadence without major catalysts for acceleration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$11,488,432종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With six days elapsed in the April 24–May 1 window as of April 30 morning, Elon Musk has posted 158 times on X, averaging 26 per day—a pace consistent with the prior week's 200–219 total that resolved prior markets higher. Traders price 180–199 as the frontrunner at 68% implied probability, reflecting sustained high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, xAI developments, and political commentary, tempered by variable daily outputs like 31 posts on April 24 and 22 on April 28. The 200–219 bin trails at 22.5% amid expectations of a modest weekend slowdown before May 1 resolution, underscoring crowd wisdom on his routine posting cadence without major catalysts for acceleration.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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