France holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 16% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reclaiming the top FIFA men's ranking on April 1 after strong qualifier performances, but Spain trails closely at 15.3% following their Euro 2024 triumph and near-identical ranking points. England's 11.1% reflects defensive injury concerns for Reece James and Kyle Walker amid a tricky group draw, while Argentina and Brazil share 8.6% amid South American qualifier parity and Rodrygo's fitness doubts. The bunched odds underscore a hyper-competitive field post-playoff surprises like Curaçao's debut qualification, mounting star injuries (Yamal, Mbappé), and the expanded 48-team format amplifying upset potential across UEFA and CONMEBOL powerhouses.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
Francja 16.0%
Hiszpania 15.3%
Anglia 11.1%
Argentyna 8.6%
$955,301,967 Wol.
$955,301,967 Wol.
Francja
16%
Hiszpania
15%
Anglia
11%
Argentyna
9%
Brazylia
9%
Portugalia
7%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
3%
Norwegia
2%
Japonia
2%
Belgia
2%
Maroko
2%
Kolumbia
2%
USA
2%
Urugwaj
1%
Meksyk
1%
Croatia
1%
Szwajcaria
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Kanada
1%
Turcja
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Iran
<1%
Francja 16.0%
Hiszpania 15.3%
Anglia 11.1%
Argentyna 8.6%
$955,301,967 Wol.
$955,301,967 Wol.
Francja
16%
Hiszpania
15%
Anglia
11%
Argentyna
9%
Brazylia
9%
Portugalia
7%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
3%
Norwegia
2%
Japonia
2%
Belgia
2%
Maroko
2%
Kolumbia
2%
USA
2%
Urugwaj
1%
Meksyk
1%
Croatia
1%
Szwajcaria
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Kanada
1%
Turcja
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Iran
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 16% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reclaiming the top FIFA men's ranking on April 1 after strong qualifier performances, but Spain trails closely at 15.3% following their Euro 2024 triumph and near-identical ranking points. England's 11.1% reflects defensive injury concerns for Reece James and Kyle Walker amid a tricky group draw, while Argentina and Brazil share 8.6% amid South American qualifier parity and Rodrygo's fitness doubts. The bunched odds underscore a hyper-competitive field post-playoff surprises like Curaçao's debut qualification, mounting star injuries (Yamal, Mbappé), and the expanded 48-team format amplifying upset potential across UEFA and CONMEBOL powerhouses.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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