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Gemini predictions & odds

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New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

81%

June 30

$1.5K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

86%

1480+

$4 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

16%

60%+

$131K Vol.

$916 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

17%

$40.9K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

55%

50%+

$310K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

47%

June 30

$927K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

52

Ends in about 2 months

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

76%

June 30

$2.6K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?

Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?

8%

800M

$6.2K Vol.

$181K Liq.

1

Best AI model on May 1? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 1? (Style Control Off)

99%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$21.0K Vol.

$52.6K Liq.

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?

99%

ChatGPT

$14.2K Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?

98%

Claude by Anthropic

$5.6K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

73%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$0 Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

2026 PPA: Veolia Atlanta Pickleball Championships (Men's Singles) Winner

2026 PPA: Veolia Atlanta Pickleball Championships (Men's Singles) Winner

98%

Luc Pham

$380 Vol.

$17 Liq.

Ends in 17 days

2026 PPA: Veolia Atlanta Pickleball Championships (Men's Doubles) Winner

2026 PPA: Veolia Atlanta Pickleball Championships (Men's Doubles) Winner

98%

Christopher Haworth / Hunter Johnson

$257 Vol.

$25 Liq.

Ends in 17 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

62%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

120

Ends in about 2 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

<1%

↑ $4.20

$365K Vol.

$883K Liq.

3

Ends in about 3 hours

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

62%

↑ $3.00

$1.8K Vol.

$378 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

17%

↑ $3

$632K Vol.

$25.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit in May 2026?

What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit in May 2026?

99%

↓ $195

$131 Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in April 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in April 2026?

1%

↓ $4,400

$246K Vol.

$69.2K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gemini.

Polymarket currently hosts 118 active markets for Gemini that lets you track or trade on predictions like “New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 77% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gemini predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.