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icon for Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?

180-199 74.0%

200-219 16%

160-179 9.8%

220-239 1.4%

Polymarket

$8,010,615 Vol.

180-199 74.0%

200-219 16%

160-179 9.8%

220-239 1.4%

Polymarket

$8,010,615 Vol.

160-179

$919,051 Vol.

10%

180-199

$460,199 Vol.

74%

200-219

$406,645 Vol.

16%

220-239

$404,169 Vol.

1%

240-259

$335,536 Vol.

<1%

260-279

$295,688 Vol.

<1%

280-299

$315,029 Vol.

<1%

300-319

$321,118 Vol.

<1%

320-339

$290,431 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$240,396 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$194,023 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$210,652 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$153,100 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$127,278 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$148,139 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$109,649 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$94,046 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$96,077 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$81,186 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$57,312 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$69,027 Vol.

<1%

580+

$172,004 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 180-199 times on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his tracked pace of 158 posts through the first six days at a 26-per-day average, projecting a total around 182-188 barring a quiet final day. This aligns with the prior week's resolved market at 200-219 posts, underscoring his consistent high-volume engagement amid ongoing SpaceX launches, Tesla updates, and Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) commentary. Lower probabilities for 200-219 (15.5%) and 160-179 (9.7%) account for potential acceleration or moderation on May 1, with negligible odds above 220 given no recent spikes in activity.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$8,010,615
Data de Término
1 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 180-199 times on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his tracked pace of 158 posts through the first six days at a 26-per-day average, projecting a total around 182-188 barring a quiet final day. This aligns with the prior week's resolved market at 200-219 posts, underscoring his consistent high-volume engagement amid ongoing SpaceX launches, Tesla updates, and Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) commentary. Lower probabilities for 200-219 (15.5%) and 160-179 (9.7%) account for potential acceleration or moderation on May 1, with negligible odds above 220 given no recent spikes in activity.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$8,010,615
Data de Término
1 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "180-199" at 74%, followed by "200-219" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?" has generated $8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?" is "180-199" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "200-219" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.