Skip to main content
icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

NOVO
31 mai 2026
Polymarket

$1,674 Vol.

Polymarket

Drake

$1,022 Vol.

76%

Don Toliver

$0 Vol.

50%

The Weeknd

$0 Vol.

50%

Beyoncé

$0 Vol.

50%

Ariana Grande

$0 Vol.

50%

Gracie Abrams

$0 Vol.

50%

Bad Bunny

$1 Vol.

50%

Bruno Mars

$0 Vol.

50%

Olivia Dean

$0 Vol.

50%

Alex Warren

$0 Vol.

50%

Olivia Rodrigo

$0 Vol.

50%

Kanye West

$52 Vol.

2%

Noah Kahan

$474 Vol.

2%

Taylor Swift

$125 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.Olivia Rodrigo debuted at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated May 2 with "Drop Dead," driven by massive streaming gains that ended Ella Langley's seven-week reign with "Choosin' Texas," now at No. 2, securing Rodrigo's early May frontrunner status amid strong critical buzz and fan mobilization. Bruno Mars' "I Just Might" climbs to No. 3, buoyed by radio airplay, while Olivia Dean holds at No. 4. Predictions favor Langley rebounding for the May 9 chart, but Drake's hyped "ICEMAN" album release on May 15 positions him for a blockbuster single debut later in the month, with traders eyeing sales-streaming combos against competition from Taylor Swift holdovers and new Fridays. Weekly updates through May 30 will hinge on platform metrics and promo pushes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Volume
$1,674
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 4:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.Olivia Rodrigo debuted at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated May 2 with "Drop Dead," driven by massive streaming gains that ended Ella Langley's seven-week reign with "Choosin' Texas," now at No. 2, securing Rodrigo's early May frontrunner status amid strong critical buzz and fan mobilization. Bruno Mars' "I Just Might" climbs to No. 3, buoyed by radio airplay, while Olivia Dean holds at No. 4. Predictions favor Langley rebounding for the May 9 chart, but Drake's hyped "ICEMAN" album release on May 15 positions him for a blockbuster single debut later in the month, with traders eyeing sales-streaming combos against competition from Taylor Swift holdovers and new Fridays. Weekly updates through May 30 will hinge on platform metrics and promo pushes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Volume
$1,674
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 4:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Drake" at 76%, followed by "Don Toliver" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which artists will have #1 hits in May?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" is "Drake" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Don Toliver" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.