President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social resharing of a map labeling the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump"—originally from a pro-Trump account, posted without caption amid US naval blockade tensions with Iran—has not moved trader consensus, with "No" at 95.2% implied probability. Traders view this provocative rhetoric as informal, far short of official renaming via executive order, U.S. Board on Geographic Names approval, or nautical chart updates, given presidents' limited authority over internationally recognized waterways bordering Iran and Oman. Three days ago, Trump reviewed Iran's proposal to reopen the strait for unrestricted oil shipping, underscoring diplomatic priorities. Formal action by May 31 remains improbable absent major de-escalation, though late-breaking executive proclamation could theoretically shift odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТрамп переименует Ормузский пролив в «Пролив Трампа» к 31 мая?
Трамп переименует Ормузский пролив в «Пролив Трампа» к 31 мая?
Да
$360,869 Объем
$360,869 Объем
Да
$360,869 Объем
$360,869 Объем
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social resharing of a map labeling the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump"—originally from a pro-Trump account, posted without caption amid US naval blockade tensions with Iran—has not moved trader consensus, with "No" at 95.2% implied probability. Traders view this provocative rhetoric as informal, far short of official renaming via executive order, U.S. Board on Geographic Names approval, or nautical chart updates, given presidents' limited authority over internationally recognized waterways bordering Iran and Oman. Three days ago, Trump reviewed Iran's proposal to reopen the strait for unrestricted oil shipping, underscoring diplomatic priorities. Formal action by May 31 remains improbable absent major de-escalation, though late-breaking executive proclamation could theoretically shift odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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