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icon for 泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家

泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家

icon for 泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家

泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家

德拉維達進步聯盟(DMK) 85%

ADMK 8.4%

TVK 8.2%

全印度草根大會黨(AITC) <1%

Polymarket

$19,976,369 交易量

德拉維達進步聯盟(DMK) 85%

ADMK 8.4%

TVK 8.2%

全印度草根大會黨(AITC) <1%

Polymarket

$19,976,369 交易量

icon for 德拉維達進步聯盟(DMK)

德拉維達進步聯盟(DMK)

$282,947 交易量

85%

icon for ADMK

ADMK

$684,168 交易量

8%

icon for TVK

TVK

$826,435 交易量

8%

icon for 全印度草根大會黨(AITC)

全印度草根大會黨(AITC)

$60,023 交易量

<1%

icon for 印度共產黨(馬克思主義)

印度共產黨(馬克思主義)

$54,893 交易量

<1%

icon for 德希亞穆爾普庫德拉維達卡魯訶加姆(DMDK)

德希亞穆爾普庫德拉維達卡魯訶加姆(DMDK)

$25,133 交易量

<1%

icon for 巴胡詹社會黨(BSP)

巴胡詹社會黨(BSP)

$26,455 交易量

<1%

icon for 印度共產黨(CPI)

印度共產黨(CPI)

$23,075 交易量

<1%

icon for 印度國民大會黨(INC)

印度國民大會黨(INC)

$17,860,006 交易量

<1%

icon for NPEP

NPEP

$43,578 交易量

<1%

icon for 印度人民黨(BJP)

印度人民黨(BJP)

$63,182 交易量

<1%

icon for 全國國民大會黨(NCP)

全國國民大會黨(NCP)

$28,306 交易量

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK alliance, led by Chief Minister MK Stalin, dominates trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability to form the next Tamil Nadu government following the April 23, 2026, Legislative Assembly election, with results due May 4. Recent exit polls from agencies like Axis My India and Today's Chanakya project DMK securing 140-162 seats in the 234-member house, bolstered by strong incumbency, effective welfare schemes, and a cohesive alliance including Congress. Actor Vijay's debut TVK and opposition AIADMK, both at 8.6%, emerge as potential vote-splitters among anti-incumbent blocs, particularly youth and regional voters, though polls indicate insufficient momentum to overtake DMK's lead amid high turnout. Uncertainty persists until counting confirms trends.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
交易量
$19,976,369
結束日期
2026-04-23
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK alliance, led by Chief Minister MK Stalin, dominates trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability to form the next Tamil Nadu government following the April 23, 2026, Legislative Assembly election, with results due May 4. Recent exit polls from agencies like Axis My India and Today's Chanakya project DMK securing 140-162 seats in the 234-member house, bolstered by strong incumbency, effective welfare schemes, and a cohesive alliance including Congress. Actor Vijay's debut TVK and opposition AIADMK, both at 8.6%, emerge as potential vote-splitters among anti-incumbent blocs, particularly youth and regional voters, though polls indicate insufficient momentum to overtake DMK's lead amid high turnout. Uncertainty persists until counting confirms trends.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
交易量
$19,976,369
結束日期
2026-04-23
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "德拉維達進步聯盟(DMK)" at 85%, followed by "ADMK" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家" has generated $20 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家" is "德拉維達進步聯盟(DMK)" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ADMK" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.