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選舉·世界選舉

西孟加拉邦立法議會選舉贏家

icon for 西孟加拉邦立法議會選舉贏家
選舉·世界選舉

西孟加拉邦立法議會選舉贏家

全印草根大會（AITC） 52.0%

印度人民黨（BJP） 47.3%

印度共產黨（CPI） <1%

印度共產黨（馬克思主義） <1%

Polymarket

$5,140,057 交易量

全印草根大會（AITC） 52.0%

印度人民黨（BJP） 47.3%

印度共產黨（CPI） <1%

印度共產黨（馬克思主義） <1%

Polymarket

$5,140,057 交易量

icon for 全印草根大會（AITC）

全印草根大會（AITC）

$2,026,054 交易量

52%

icon for 印度人民黨（BJP）

印度人民黨（BJP）

$1,242,701 交易量

47%

icon for 印度共產黨（CPI）

印度共產黨（CPI）

$825,317 交易量

<1%

icon for 印度共產黨（馬克思主義）

印度共產黨（馬克思主義）

$62,000 交易量

<1%

icon for 印度國民大會黨（INC）

印度國民大會黨（INC）

$141,730 交易量

<1%

icon for BGPM

BGPM

$842,350 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for West Bengal's 294-seat assembly, with AITC at 51.8% implied probability edging BJP's 48.9%, driven by divided exit polls released after phase-two polling on April 29 amid record turnout exceeding 80% in some areas. Incumbent AITC, led by Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee, leverages welfare schemes and Muslim voter consolidation, while BJP capitalizes on anti-incumbency over alleged corruption, post-poll violence, and a controversial voter list revision excluding millions, fueling turnout in Hindu-majority segments. Pre-poll surveys showed similar tightness, with 2024 Lok Sabha leads (AITC in 192 segments) underscoring battlegrounds in South and North Bengal. Results counting on May 4 could hinge on postal ballots and swing constituencies, potentially tipping the balance for a majority government needing 148 seats.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
交易量
$5,140,057
結束日期
2026-04-29
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for West Bengal's 294-seat assembly, with AITC at 51.8% implied probability edging BJP's 48.9%, driven by divided exit polls released after phase-two polling on April 29 amid record turnout exceeding 80% in some areas. Incumbent AITC, led by Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee, leverages welfare schemes and Muslim voter consolidation, while BJP capitalizes on anti-incumbency over alleged corruption, post-poll violence, and a controversial voter list revision excluding millions, fueling turnout in Hindu-majority segments. Pre-poll surveys showed similar tightness, with 2024 Lok Sabha leads (AITC in 192 segments) underscoring battlegrounds in South and North Bengal. Results counting on May 4 could hinge on postal ballots and swing constituencies, potentially tipping the balance for a majority government needing 148 seats.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
交易量
$5,140,057
結束日期
2026-04-29
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"西孟加拉邦立法議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "全印草根大會（AITC）" at 52%, followed by "印度人民黨（BJP）" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "西孟加拉邦立法議會選舉贏家" has generated $5.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "西孟加拉邦立法議會選舉贏家," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "西孟加拉邦立法議會選舉贏家" is "全印草根大會（AITC）" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "印度人民黨（BJP）" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "西孟加拉邦立法議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.