U.S.-brokered direct talks between Israel and Lebanon envoys in Washington on April 14 marked the first such diplomacy in over 30 years, focusing on ceasefire enforcement, Hezbollah disarmament, and border security amid renewed cross-border exchanges since early 2026. Hezbollah leadership categorically rejected the process as "surrender," firing rockets concurrently and insisting on armed resistance over negotiations, while a Lebanese Hezbollah lawmaker echoed opposition to direct Israel contacts. A fragile ceasefire was extended by three weeks on April 23 following further discussions, but no Israel-Hezbollah diplomatic meeting has materialized, with trader consensus highlighting Hezbollah's non-state status and veto power as key barriers before the May 31 deadline. Upcoming State Department sessions could test progress, though escalation risks persist.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,361 交易量
2026-05-31
May 31
7%
$25,361 交易量
May 31
$6,560 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.U.S.-brokered direct talks between Israel and Lebanon envoys in Washington on April 14 marked the first such diplomacy in over 30 years, focusing on ceasefire enforcement, Hezbollah disarmament, and border security amid renewed cross-border exchanges since early 2026. Hezbollah leadership categorically rejected the process as "surrender," firing rockets concurrently and insisting on armed resistance over negotiations, while a Lebanese Hezbollah lawmaker echoed opposition to direct Israel contacts. A fragile ceasefire was extended by three weeks on April 23 following further discussions, but no Israel-Hezbollah diplomatic meeting has materialized, with trader consensus highlighting Hezbollah's non-state status and veto power as key barriers before the May 31 deadline. Upcoming State Department sessions could test progress, though escalation risks persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
交易量
$25,361结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.U.S.-brokered direct talks between Israel and Lebanon envoys in Washington on April 14 marked the first such diplomacy in over 30 years, focusing on ceasefire enforcement, Hezbollah disarmament, and border security amid renewed cross-border exchanges since early 2026. Hezbollah leadership categorically rejected the process as "surrender," firing rockets concurrently and insisting on armed resistance over negotiations, while a Lebanese Hezbollah lawmaker echoed opposition to direct Israel contacts. A fragile ceasefire was extended by three weeks on April 23 following further discussions, but no Israel-Hezbollah diplomatic meeting has materialized, with trader consensus highlighting Hezbollah's non-state status and veto power as key barriers before the May 31 deadline. Upcoming State Department sessions could test progress, though escalation risks persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$25,361结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S.-brokered direct talks between Israel and Lebanon envoys in Washington on April 14 marked the first such diplomacy in over 30 years, focusing on ceasefire enforcement, Hezbollah disarmament, and border security amid renewed cross-border exchanges since early 2026. Hezbollah leadership categorically rejected the process as "surrender," firing rockets concurrently and insisting on armed resistance over negotiations, while a Lebanese Hezbollah lawmaker echoed opposition to direct Israel contacts. A fragile ceasefire was extended by three weeks on April 23 following further discussions, but no Israel-Hezbollah diplomatic meeting has materialized, with trader consensus highlighting Hezbollah's non-state status and veto power as key barriers before the May 31 deadline. Upcoming State Department sessions could test progress, though escalation risks persist.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题