Amid stalled Islamabad talks mediated by Pakistan, the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting lacks a confirmed date or venue, shaping trader focus on key envoys amid post-conflict ceasefire efforts over the Strait of Hormuz. Recent rounds featured US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and advisor Jared Kushner leading the American delegation, while Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi headed Tehran's side, with Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf absent from the second session despite earlier expectations. The Trump administration is reviewing Iran's April 28 proposal to reopen the strait while deferring nuclear negotiations, as diplomats weigh escalation risks versus de-escalation signals. Potential resumption hinges on responses before any renewed blockade or strikes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,070,596 交易量
唐纳德·特朗普
2%
马可·鲁比奥
8%
J.D. 万斯
39%
贾里德·库什纳
57%
史蒂夫·维特科夫
57%
$1,070,596 交易量
唐纳德·特朗普
2%
马可·鲁比奥
8%
J.D. 万斯
39%
贾里德·库什纳
57%
史蒂夫·维特科夫
57%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid stalled Islamabad talks mediated by Pakistan, the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting lacks a confirmed date or venue, shaping trader focus on key envoys amid post-conflict ceasefire efforts over the Strait of Hormuz. Recent rounds featured US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and advisor Jared Kushner leading the American delegation, while Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi headed Tehran's side, with Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf absent from the second session despite earlier expectations. The Trump administration is reviewing Iran's April 28 proposal to reopen the strait while deferring nuclear negotiations, as diplomats weigh escalation risks versus de-escalation signals. Potential resumption hinges on responses before any renewed blockade or strikes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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