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Politik·Globale Wahlen

Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien

icon for Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien

Iván Cepeda Castro 39%

Paloma Valencia 33.8%

Abelardo de la Espriella 28%

Sergio Fajardo (DC) <1%

Polymarket

$26,411,332 Vol.

Iván Cepeda Castro 39%

Paloma Valencia 33.8%

Abelardo de la Espriella 28%

Sergio Fajardo (DC) <1%

Polymarket

$26,411,332 Vol.

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$766,261 Vol.

39%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$941,634 Vol.

34%

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$925,581 Vol.

28%

icon for Sergio Fajardo (DC)

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

$1,518,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila (IND)

Vicky Dávila (IND)

$2,670,775 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

$1,560,522 Vol.

<1%

icon for Claudia López (IND)

Claudia López (IND)

$926,072 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

$1,220,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

$5,700,245 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

$1,553,432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$922,156 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Felipe Córdoba

Carlos Felipe Córdoba

$423,641 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez (IND)

David Luna Sánchez (IND)

$1,735,553 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

$705,607 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$2,394,979 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$692,724 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$1,303,034 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$425,739 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices unidentified moderate Candidate M at 49.5% implied probability to win Colombia's presidential election, including any runoff, amid a closely contested race with leftist Iván Cepeda Castro at 38.5%, right-wing Paloma Valencia at 33.8%, and independent Abelardo de la Espriella at 27.5%. The latest Invamer poll from April 26 shows Cepeda leading first-round voting intentions at 44.3%—up over seven points since February—while de la Espriella and Valencia trail at 21.5% and 19.8%, splitting the opposition vote in a fragmented field following March's divided parliamentary elections. With the first round on May 31 and potential second round June 21, traders anticipate runoff dynamics favoring centrists, as centrists like Sergio Fajardo and Claudia López fade to under 1%.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$26,411,332
Enddatum
21. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices unidentified moderate Candidate M at 49.5% implied probability to win Colombia's presidential election, including any runoff, amid a closely contested race with leftist Iván Cepeda Castro at 38.5%, right-wing Paloma Valencia at 33.8%, and independent Abelardo de la Espriella at 27.5%. The latest Invamer poll from April 26 shows Cepeda leading first-round voting intentions at 44.3%—up over seven points since February—while de la Espriella and Valencia trail at 21.5% and 19.8%, splitting the opposition vote in a fragmented field following March's divided parliamentary elections. With the first round on May 31 and potential second round June 21, traders anticipate runoff dynamics favoring centrists, as centrists like Sergio Fajardo and Claudia López fade to under 1%.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$26,411,332
Enddatum
21. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 19 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Iván Cepeda Castro" mit 39%, gefolgt von „Paloma Valencia" mit 34%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 39¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 39% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $26.4 million generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 29, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 19 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien" ist „Iván Cepeda Castro" mit 39%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 39% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Paloma Valencia" mit 34%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.