Following the April 9 single-phase Assam Legislative Assembly election, which saw record voter turnout exceeding 75%, multiple exit polls from agencies like Today's Chanakya, Axis My India, and Matrize project the incumbent BJP-led NDA securing a commanding majority of 70-102 seats in the 126-member house, far surpassing the 64 needed for government formation. This trader consensus reflects strong continuity in BJP support under Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, bolstered by development focus and opposition fragmentation among INC and allies. With results due May 4, the 95.8% pricing underscores skin-in-the-game confidence, though rare vote-counting discrepancies or regional upsets could theoretically challenge the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée législative de l'Assam
Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée législative de l'Assam
BJP 93.9%
INC 5.6%
CPI(M) <1%
NCP <1%
$199,860 Vol.
$199,860 Vol.

BJP
94%

INC
6%

CPI(M)
<1%

NCP
<1%

AIUDF
<1%

BPF
<1%

AITC
<1%

CPI
<1%

NPEP
<1%

AGP
<1%
BJP 93.9%
INC 5.6%
CPI(M) <1%
NCP <1%
$199,860 Vol.
$199,860 Vol.

BJP
94%

INC
6%

CPI(M)
<1%

NCP
<1%

AIUDF
<1%

BPF
<1%

AITC
<1%

CPI
<1%

NPEP
<1%

AGP
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Marché ouvert : Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following the April 9 single-phase Assam Legislative Assembly election, which saw record voter turnout exceeding 75%, multiple exit polls from agencies like Today's Chanakya, Axis My India, and Matrize project the incumbent BJP-led NDA securing a commanding majority of 70-102 seats in the 126-member house, far surpassing the 64 needed for government formation. This trader consensus reflects strong continuity in BJP support under Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, bolstered by development focus and opposition fragmentation among INC and allies. With results due May 4, the 95.8% pricing underscores skin-in-the-game confidence, though rare vote-counting discrepancies or regional upsets could theoretically challenge the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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