Trump remains in office as President past the April 30, 2026, deadline, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No" with no developments indicating resignation, impeachment conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment for incapacity, or other removal mechanisms. His second term, inaugurated January 20, 2025, proceeds without major legal challenges or health events disrupting continuity, as confirmed by official White House statements and absence of congressional action on removal proceedings. Recent weeks saw routine executive actions and policy announcements, reinforcing stability. Realistic upset scenarios—such as late-breaking health emergencies, successful Supreme Court rulings on eligibility disputes, or extraordinary congressional votes—appear improbable given historical precedents for presidential tenure and lack of momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$16,290,211 Vol.
$16,290,211 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
Oui
$16,290,211 Vol.
$16,290,211 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains in office as President past the April 30, 2026, deadline, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No" with no developments indicating resignation, impeachment conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment for incapacity, or other removal mechanisms. His second term, inaugurated January 20, 2025, proceeds without major legal challenges or health events disrupting continuity, as confirmed by official White House statements and absence of congressional action on removal proceedings. Recent weeks saw routine executive actions and policy announcements, reinforcing stability. Realistic upset scenarios—such as late-breaking health emergencies, successful Supreme Court rulings on eligibility disputes, or extraordinary congressional votes—appear improbable given historical precedents for presidential tenure and lack of momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Volume
$16,290,211Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains in office as President past the April 30, 2026, deadline, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No" with no developments indicating resignation, impeachment conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment for incapacity, or other removal mechanisms. His second term, inaugurated January 20, 2025, proceeds without major legal challenges or health events disrupting continuity, as confirmed by official White House statements and absence of congressional action on removal proceedings. Recent weeks saw routine executive actions and policy announcements, reinforcing stability. Realistic upset scenarios—such as late-breaking health emergencies, successful Supreme Court rulings on eligibility disputes, or extraordinary congressional votes—appear improbable given historical precedents for presidential tenure and lack of momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$16,290,211Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump remains in office as President past the April 30, 2026, deadline, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No" with no developments indicating resignation, impeachment conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment for incapacity, or other removal mechanisms. His second term, inaugurated January 20, 2025, proceeds without major legal challenges or health events disrupting continuity, as confirmed by official White House statements and absence of congressional action on removal proceedings. Recent weeks saw routine executive actions and policy announcements, reinforcing stability. Realistic upset scenarios—such as late-breaking health emergencies, successful Supreme Court rulings on eligibility disputes, or extraordinary congressional votes—appear improbable given historical precedents for presidential tenure and lack of momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes