A federal grand jury indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, on two felony counts of threatening President Trump via a 2025 Instagram post showing seashells arranged as "86 47"—slang interpreted by prosecutors as signaling harm to the 47th president. Comey surrendered, appeared in Virginia federal court on April 29, and was released without bail. Legal analysts highlight strong First Amendment defenses for the ambiguous imagery, with precedents showing mixed conviction rates on similar threat charges. Absent a scheduled trial or plea deal, the lengthy federal process—discovery, motions, hearings—makes conviction and sentencing to prison by December 31 unlikely, driving trader consensus to 91.5% on "No."
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$169,140 वॉल्यूम
$169,140 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
$169,140 वॉल्यूम
$169,140 वॉल्यूम
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A federal grand jury indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, on two felony counts of threatening President Trump via a 2025 Instagram post showing seashells arranged as "86 47"—slang interpreted by prosecutors as signaling harm to the 47th president. Comey surrendered, appeared in Virginia federal court on April 29, and was released without bail. Legal analysts highlight strong First Amendment defenses for the ambiguous imagery, with precedents showing mixed conviction rates on similar threat charges. Absent a scheduled trial or plea deal, the lengthy federal process—discovery, motions, hearings—makes conviction and sentencing to prison by December 31 unlikely, driving trader consensus to 91.5% on "No."
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न