Trader consensus heavily favors 180-199 X posts by Elon Musk from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET at 73.4% implied probability, driven by xTracker's tally of 158 posts over the first six days at a 26-post daily average as of April 30 morning, projecting a total around 184 assuming steady cadence into the final day. Variable activity—including a peak of 78 posts on April 25 amid xAI Grok advancements and Starlink expansions—sustained this pace, though recent tallies reached 174 by late April 30, tightening odds near 160-179 (10.9%) and 200-219 (15.5%). Final May 1 morning posts before noon ET resolution could tip the balance, consistent with Musk's historical 25-42 daily averages in prior tracked periods.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日180-199 75.3%
200-219 20%
160-179 4.0%
220-239 1.7%
$8,019,379 Vol.
$8,019,379 Vol.
2026/05/01
160-179
4%
180-199
75%
200-219
20%
220-239
2%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
180-199 75.3%
200-219 20%
160-179 4.0%
220-239 1.7%
$8,019,379 Vol.
$8,019,379 Vol.
2026/05/01
160-179
$936,214 Vol.
4%
180-199
$461,374 Vol.
75%
200-219
$414,127 Vol.
20%
220-239
$406,427 Vol.
2%
240-259
$343,171 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$302,019 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$315,029 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$321,118 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$290,431 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$240,396 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$194,023 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$210,652 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$153,100 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$127,278 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$148,139 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$109,649 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$94,046 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$96,077 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$81,186 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$57,312 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$69,027 Vol.
<1%
580+
$172,004 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors 180-199 X posts by Elon Musk from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET at 73.4% implied probability, driven by xTracker's tally of 158 posts over the first six days at a 26-post daily average as of April 30 morning, projecting a total around 184 assuming steady cadence into the final day. Variable activity—including a peak of 78 posts on April 25 amid xAI Grok advancements and Starlink expansions—sustained this pace, though recent tallies reached 174 by late April 30, tightening odds near 160-179 (10.9%) and 200-219 (15.5%). Final May 1 morning posts before noon ET resolution could tip the balance, consistent with Musk's historical 25-42 daily averages in prior tracked periods.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$8,019,379終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors 180-199 X posts by Elon Musk from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET at 73.4% implied probability, driven by xTracker's tally of 158 posts over the first six days at a 26-post daily average as of April 30 morning, projecting a total around 184 assuming steady cadence into the final day. Variable activity—including a peak of 78 posts on April 25 amid xAI Grok advancements and Starlink expansions—sustained this pace, though recent tallies reached 174 by late April 30, tightening odds near 160-179 (10.9%) and 200-219 (15.5%). Final May 1 morning posts before noon ET resolution could tip the balance, consistent with Musk's historical 25-42 daily averages in prior tracked periods.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$8,019,379終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 180-199 X posts by Elon Musk from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET at 73.4% implied probability, driven by xTracker's tally of 158 posts over the first six days at a 26-post daily average as of April 30 morning, projecting a total around 184 assuming steady cadence into the final day. Variable activity—including a peak of 78 posts on April 25 amid xAI Grok advancements and Starlink expansions—sustained this pace, though recent tallies reached 174 by late April 30, tightening odds near 160-179 (10.9%) and 200-219 (15.5%). Final May 1 morning posts before noon ET resolution could tip the balance, consistent with Musk's historical 25-42 daily averages in prior tracked periods.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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