Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?
$31,952,049 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 30
$2,298,638 Wol.
<1%
May 31
$888,804 Wol.
4%
June 30
$270,100 Wol.
8%
September 30
$158,145 Wol.
13%
31 grudnia
$26,394,984 Wol.
19%
$31,952,049 Wol.
April 30
$2,298,638 Wol.
<1%
May 31
$888,804 Wol.
4%
June 30
$270,100 Wol.
8%
September 30
$158,145 Wol.
13%
31 grudnia
$26,394,984 Wol.
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's February 2026 directive to declassify UFO files, followed by Pentagon video releases in April, has fueled public frenzy and ufology buzz, yet trader consensus remains firmly skeptical of outright alien confirmation. All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) reports through early 2026 resolve most UAP sightings as drones, balloons, or sensor errors, with over 2,000 cases investigated and no non-human intelligence verified. Congressional rhetoric from figures like Rep. Tim Burchett alleging extraterrestrial contact adds speculative momentum but lacks official backing, echoing historical patterns of disclosure teases without substance. Watch for impending file drops and potential hearings, though entrenched government caution signals low near-term resolution odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
President Trump's February 2026 directive to declassify UFO files, followed by Pentagon video releases in April, has fueled public frenzy and ufology buzz, yet trader consensus remains firmly skeptical of outright alien confirmation. All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) reports through early 2026 resolve most UAP sightings as drones, balloons, or sensor errors, with over 2,000 cases investigated and no non-human intelligence verified. Congressional rhetoric from figures like Rep. Tim Burchett alleging extraterrestrial contact adds speculative momentum but lacks official backing, echoing historical patterns of disclosure teases without substance. Watch for impending file drops and potential hearings, though entrenched government caution signals low near-term resolution odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Apr 28 2026
Ufologist David Wilcock’s widely reported death amid rumors of a delayed or canceled government announcement dampens disclosure hopes, slightly reducing market odds
December 31 dips to 19%2%
Ufologist David Wilcock’s widely reported death amid rumors of a delayed or canceled government announcement dampens disclosure hopes, slightly reducing market odds
Apr 27 2026
Operation Disclosure Official publishes an article emphasizing that official extraterrestrial disclosure is very close, referencing historical precedents and ongoing pressure on
June 30 rises to 8%1%
Operation Disclosure Official publishes an article emphasizing that official extraterrestrial disclosure is very close, referencing historical precedents and ongoing pressure on governments, which supports a modest
Apr 25 2026
AARO officials reiterated that no extraterrestrial evidence had been found in any UAP reports, tempering the earlier optimism and nudging the
December 31 dips to 20%1%
AARO officials reiterated that no extraterrestrial evidence had been found in any UAP reports, tempering the earlier optimism and nudging the
Apr 23 2026
Disclosure momentum accelerates with widespread discussion of whistleblower deaths and government cover-ups, including the suspicious death of researcher David Wilcock, fueling
June 30 rises to 9%1%
Disclosure momentum accelerates with widespread discussion of whistleblower deaths and government cover-ups, including the suspicious death of researcher David Wilcock, fueling speculation about imminent disclosure
Apr 22 2026
The Guardian reported the Pentagon’s release of previously classified UFO videos, reigniting trader optimism that the files might contain “interesting” evidence
December 31 rises to 21%4%
The Guardian reported the Pentagon’s release of previously classified UFO videos, reigniting trader optimism that the files might contain “interesting” evidence
Apr 22 2026
The Pentagon publicly releases UFO videos and reaffirms ongoing investigations into unidentified aerial phenomena, maintaining market interest in potential disclosure
December 31 rises to 21%1%
The Pentagon publicly releases UFO videos and reaffirms ongoing investigations into unidentified aerial phenomena, maintaining market interest in potential disclosure
Apr 22 2026
The Guardian publishes an investigative report on Pentagon UFO videos and ongoing government secrecy, highlighting the challenges in obtaining definitive proof and contributing to
June 30 rises to 8%3%
The Guardian publishes an investigative report on Pentagon UFO videos and ongoing government secrecy, highlighting the challenges in obtaining definitive proof and contributing to market uncertainty
Apr 21 2026
Pentagon misses April 14 deadline to release 46 videos of unidentified aerial phenomena, as noted by Rep.
June 30 dips to 5%1%
Anna Paulina Luna, causing a drop in confidence about imminent disclosure
Apr 20 2026
Former President Trump announces that the first releases of UFO files will be coming out very soon, signaling potential government disclosure and raising market optimism
June 30 dips to 6%4%
Former President Trump announces that the first releases of UFO files will be coming out very soon, signaling potential government disclosure and raising market optimism
Apr 15 2026
Renewed media coverage highlights ongoing congressional hearings and statements by former intelligence officers about secret Pentagon programs investigating UFOs, boosting market
December 31 rises to 20%4%
Renewed media coverage highlights ongoing congressional hearings and statements by former intelligence officers about secret Pentagon programs investigating UFOs, boosting market sentiment
Apr 12 2026
Reports emerge that the Pentagon’s AARO office found no extraterrestrial evidence in its latest review, tempering optimism but still leaving odds elevated as traders anticipate a
December 31 dips to 19%2%
Reports emerge that the Pentagon’s AARO office found no extraterrestrial evidence in its latest review, tempering optimism but still leaving odds elevated as traders anticipate a possible late‑April announcement
Mar 18 2026
White House quietly registers the “aliens.gov” domain after a Trump directive, igniting speculation of an imminent official confirmation and pushing odds to a new high
December 31 jumps to 21%7%
White House quietly registers the “aliens.gov” domain after a Trump directive, igniting speculation of an imminent official confirmation and pushing odds to a new high
Mar 1 2026
UFO‑researcher David Wilcock’s suicide, reported as a blow to the “Disclosure” movement that had been pushing for a June 30 confirmation, pulled odds down
December 31 dips to 11%3%
UFO‑researcher David Wilcock’s suicide, reported as a blow to the “Disclosure” movement that had been pushing for a June 30 confirmation, pulled odds down
Feb 21 2026
Following initial enthusiasm, skepticism grows as no new concrete evidence or official confirmation emerges from the government’s file releases, leading to a market pullback
December 31 drops to 15%6%
Following initial enthusiasm, skepticism grows as no new concrete evidence or official confirmation emerges from the government’s file releases, leading to a market pullback
Feb 20 2026
President Trump publicly directed the Defense Secretary and other agencies to begin releasing “alien and extraterrestrial” files, sparking a surge of speculation about imminent
December 31 rises to 12%2%
President Trump publicly directed the Defense Secretary and other agencies to begin releasing “alien and extraterrestrial” files, sparking a surge of speculation about imminent disclosure
Feb 20 2026
Former President Barack Obama’s podcast remark that “aliens are real” (later clarified) amplified public interest and was cited as the trigger for Trump’s February directive
December 31 rises to 14%2%
Former President Barack Obama’s podcast remark that “aliens are real” (later clarified) amplified public interest and was cited as the trigger for Trump’s February directive
Feb 18 2026
Former President Donald Trump announces via Truth Social that he will direct the Secretary of War and other agencies to begin releasing government files related to aliens, UFOs,
December 31 jumps to 21%9%
Former President Donald Trump announces via Truth Social that he will direct the Secretary of War and other agencies to begin releasing government files related to aliens, UFOs, and extraterrestrial life, causing a sharp market jump
Dec 2 2025
Former President Barack Obama publicly states on a podcast that aliens are “real” in the sense that life likely exists elsewhere in the universe, sparking media frenzy and
December 31 rises to 12%3%
Former President Barack Obama publicly states on a podcast that aliens are “real” in the sense that life likely exists elsewhere in the universe, sparking media frenzy and increasing market confidence
Nov 27 2025
U.S. administration reportedly preparing a Trump‑era announcement that the president may confirm extraterrestrials after a briefing on “basic facts”
December 31 rises to 9%2%
U.S. administration reportedly preparing a Trump‑era announcement that the president may confirm extraterrestrials after a briefing on “basic facts”
Nov 27 2025
U.S. administration reportedly prepares a presidential announcement on extraterrestrials, fueling speculation that a formal disclosure could arrive soon
December 31 rises to 12%3%
U.S. administration reportedly prepares a presidential announcement on extraterrestrials, fueling speculation that a formal disclosure could arrive soon
Nov 27 2025
Reports emerge that the U.S. administration is preparing to announce and acknowledge extraterrestrial life, with speculation about President Trump receiving briefings on
December 31 rises to 10%3%
Reports emerge that the U.S. administration is preparing to announce and acknowledge extraterrestrial life, with speculation about President Trump receiving briefings on humanity’s place in the universe, fueling market optimism
Nov 13 2025
Scientists announce discovery of a nearby super‑Earth in the habitable zone, boosting hopes of finding alien life
December 31 rises to 9%2%
Scientists announce discovery of a nearby super‑Earth in the habitable zone, boosting hopes of finding alien life
Nov 13 2025
Discovery of a nearby super-Earth exoplanet in the habitable zone announced, raising hopes for finding alien life and increasing public interest in extraterrestrial possibilities
December 31 rises to 9%2%
Discovery of a nearby super-Earth exoplanet in the habitable zone announced, raising hopes for finding alien life and increasing public interest in extraterrestrial possibilities
May 20 2025
Ufology leader David Wilcock dies by suicide, a blow to the “Disclosure” movement and causing traders to pull back on “Yes” bets
December 31 dips to 10%2%
Ufology leader David Wilcock dies by suicide, a blow to the “Disclosure” movement and causing traders to pull back on “Yes” bets
Feb 14 2025
President Trump posts on Truth Social directing the Defense Secretary to begin releasing UFO and alien‑related files, prompting a surge in market odds
December 31 rises to 14%4%
President Trump posts on Truth Social directing the Defense Secretary to begin releasing UFO and alien‑related files, prompting a surge in market odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's February 2026 directive to declassify UFO files, followed by Pentagon video releases in April, has fueled public frenzy and ufology buzz, yet trader consensus remains firmly skeptical of outright alien confirmation. All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) reports through early 2026 resolve most UAP sightings as drones, balloons, or sensor errors, with over 2,000 cases investigated and no non-human intelligence verified. Congressional rhetoric from figures like Rep. Tim Burchett alleging extraterrestrial contact adds speculative momentum but lacks official backing, echoing historical patterns of disclosure teases without substance. Watch for impending file drops and potential hearings, though entrenched government caution signals low near-term resolution odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
President Trump's February 2026 directive to declassify UFO files, followed by Pentagon video releases in April, has fueled public frenzy and ufology buzz, yet trader consensus remains firmly skeptical of outright alien confirmation. All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) reports through early 2026 resolve most UAP sightings as drones, balloons, or sensor errors, with over 2,000 cases investigated and no non-human intelligence verified. Congressional rhetoric from figures like Rep. Tim Burchett alleging extraterrestrial contact adds speculative momentum but lacks official backing, echoing historical patterns of disclosure teases without substance. Watch for impending file drops and potential hearings, though entrenched government caution signals low near-term resolution odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Apr 28 2026
Ufologist David Wilcock’s widely reported death amid rumors of a delayed or canceled government announcement dampens disclosure hopes, slightly reducing market odds
December 31 dips to 19%2%
Ufologist David Wilcock’s widely reported death amid rumors of a delayed or canceled government announcement dampens disclosure hopes, slightly reducing market odds
Apr 27 2026
Operation Disclosure Official publishes an article emphasizing that official extraterrestrial disclosure is very close, referencing historical precedents and ongoing pressure on
June 30 rises to 8%1%
Operation Disclosure Official publishes an article emphasizing that official extraterrestrial disclosure is very close, referencing historical precedents and ongoing pressure on governments, which supports a modest
Apr 25 2026
AARO officials reiterated that no extraterrestrial evidence had been found in any UAP reports, tempering the earlier optimism and nudging the
December 31 dips to 20%1%
AARO officials reiterated that no extraterrestrial evidence had been found in any UAP reports, tempering the earlier optimism and nudging the
Apr 23 2026
Disclosure momentum accelerates with widespread discussion of whistleblower deaths and government cover-ups, including the suspicious death of researcher David Wilcock, fueling
June 30 rises to 9%1%
Disclosure momentum accelerates with widespread discussion of whistleblower deaths and government cover-ups, including the suspicious death of researcher David Wilcock, fueling speculation about imminent disclosure
Apr 22 2026
The Guardian reported the Pentagon’s release of previously classified UFO videos, reigniting trader optimism that the files might contain “interesting” evidence
December 31 rises to 21%4%
The Guardian reported the Pentagon’s release of previously classified UFO videos, reigniting trader optimism that the files might contain “interesting” evidence
Apr 22 2026
The Pentagon publicly releases UFO videos and reaffirms ongoing investigations into unidentified aerial phenomena, maintaining market interest in potential disclosure
December 31 rises to 21%1%
The Pentagon publicly releases UFO videos and reaffirms ongoing investigations into unidentified aerial phenomena, maintaining market interest in potential disclosure
Apr 22 2026
The Guardian publishes an investigative report on Pentagon UFO videos and ongoing government secrecy, highlighting the challenges in obtaining definitive proof and contributing to
June 30 rises to 8%3%
The Guardian publishes an investigative report on Pentagon UFO videos and ongoing government secrecy, highlighting the challenges in obtaining definitive proof and contributing to market uncertainty
Apr 21 2026
Pentagon misses April 14 deadline to release 46 videos of unidentified aerial phenomena, as noted by Rep.
June 30 dips to 5%1%
Anna Paulina Luna, causing a drop in confidence about imminent disclosure
Apr 20 2026
Former President Trump announces that the first releases of UFO files will be coming out very soon, signaling potential government disclosure and raising market optimism
June 30 dips to 6%4%
Former President Trump announces that the first releases of UFO files will be coming out very soon, signaling potential government disclosure and raising market optimism
Apr 15 2026
Renewed media coverage highlights ongoing congressional hearings and statements by former intelligence officers about secret Pentagon programs investigating UFOs, boosting market
December 31 rises to 20%4%
Renewed media coverage highlights ongoing congressional hearings and statements by former intelligence officers about secret Pentagon programs investigating UFOs, boosting market sentiment
Apr 12 2026
Reports emerge that the Pentagon’s AARO office found no extraterrestrial evidence in its latest review, tempering optimism but still leaving odds elevated as traders anticipate a
December 31 dips to 19%2%
Reports emerge that the Pentagon’s AARO office found no extraterrestrial evidence in its latest review, tempering optimism but still leaving odds elevated as traders anticipate a possible late‑April announcement
Mar 18 2026
White House quietly registers the “aliens.gov” domain after a Trump directive, igniting speculation of an imminent official confirmation and pushing odds to a new high
December 31 jumps to 21%7%
White House quietly registers the “aliens.gov” domain after a Trump directive, igniting speculation of an imminent official confirmation and pushing odds to a new high
Mar 1 2026
UFO‑researcher David Wilcock’s suicide, reported as a blow to the “Disclosure” movement that had been pushing for a June 30 confirmation, pulled odds down
December 31 dips to 11%3%
UFO‑researcher David Wilcock’s suicide, reported as a blow to the “Disclosure” movement that had been pushing for a June 30 confirmation, pulled odds down
Feb 21 2026
Following initial enthusiasm, skepticism grows as no new concrete evidence or official confirmation emerges from the government’s file releases, leading to a market pullback
December 31 drops to 15%6%
Following initial enthusiasm, skepticism grows as no new concrete evidence or official confirmation emerges from the government’s file releases, leading to a market pullback
Feb 20 2026
President Trump publicly directed the Defense Secretary and other agencies to begin releasing “alien and extraterrestrial” files, sparking a surge of speculation about imminent
December 31 rises to 12%2%
President Trump publicly directed the Defense Secretary and other agencies to begin releasing “alien and extraterrestrial” files, sparking a surge of speculation about imminent disclosure
Feb 20 2026
Former President Barack Obama’s podcast remark that “aliens are real” (later clarified) amplified public interest and was cited as the trigger for Trump’s February directive
December 31 rises to 14%2%
Former President Barack Obama’s podcast remark that “aliens are real” (later clarified) amplified public interest and was cited as the trigger for Trump’s February directive
Feb 18 2026
Former President Donald Trump announces via Truth Social that he will direct the Secretary of War and other agencies to begin releasing government files related to aliens, UFOs,
December 31 jumps to 21%9%
Former President Donald Trump announces via Truth Social that he will direct the Secretary of War and other agencies to begin releasing government files related to aliens, UFOs, and extraterrestrial life, causing a sharp market jump
Dec 2 2025
Former President Barack Obama publicly states on a podcast that aliens are “real” in the sense that life likely exists elsewhere in the universe, sparking media frenzy and
December 31 rises to 12%3%
Former President Barack Obama publicly states on a podcast that aliens are “real” in the sense that life likely exists elsewhere in the universe, sparking media frenzy and increasing market confidence
Nov 27 2025
U.S. administration reportedly preparing a Trump‑era announcement that the president may confirm extraterrestrials after a briefing on “basic facts”
December 31 rises to 9%2%
U.S. administration reportedly preparing a Trump‑era announcement that the president may confirm extraterrestrials after a briefing on “basic facts”
Nov 27 2025
U.S. administration reportedly prepares a presidential announcement on extraterrestrials, fueling speculation that a formal disclosure could arrive soon
December 31 rises to 12%3%
U.S. administration reportedly prepares a presidential announcement on extraterrestrials, fueling speculation that a formal disclosure could arrive soon
Nov 27 2025
Reports emerge that the U.S. administration is preparing to announce and acknowledge extraterrestrial life, with speculation about President Trump receiving briefings on
December 31 rises to 10%3%
Reports emerge that the U.S. administration is preparing to announce and acknowledge extraterrestrial life, with speculation about President Trump receiving briefings on humanity’s place in the universe, fueling market optimism
Nov 13 2025
Scientists announce discovery of a nearby super‑Earth in the habitable zone, boosting hopes of finding alien life
December 31 rises to 9%2%
Scientists announce discovery of a nearby super‑Earth in the habitable zone, boosting hopes of finding alien life
Nov 13 2025
Discovery of a nearby super-Earth exoplanet in the habitable zone announced, raising hopes for finding alien life and increasing public interest in extraterrestrial possibilities
December 31 rises to 9%2%
Discovery of a nearby super-Earth exoplanet in the habitable zone announced, raising hopes for finding alien life and increasing public interest in extraterrestrial possibilities
May 20 2025
Ufology leader David Wilcock dies by suicide, a blow to the “Disclosure” movement and causing traders to pull back on “Yes” bets
December 31 dips to 10%2%
Ufology leader David Wilcock dies by suicide, a blow to the “Disclosure” movement and causing traders to pull back on “Yes” bets
Feb 14 2025
President Trump posts on Truth Social directing the Defense Secretary to begin releasing UFO and alien‑related files, prompting a surge in market odds
December 31 rises to 14%4%
President Trump posts on Truth Social directing the Defense Secretary to begin releasing UFO and alien‑related files, prompting a surge in market odds
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Często zadawane pytania
"Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 6 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "31 grudnia" z 19%, za nim "September 30" z 13%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 19¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 19% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.
Na dzień dzisiejszy "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?" wygenerował $32 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 25, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.
Aby handlować na "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?", przeglądaj 6 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.
Obecnym faworytem dla "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?" jest "31 grudnia" z 19%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 19% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "September 30" z 13%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.
Zasady rozstrzygania "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.
Tak. Nie musisz handlować, aby być na bieżąco. Ta strona służy jako tracker na żywo dla "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?". Prawdopodobieństwa wyników aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym z każdą nową transakcją. Możesz dodać tę stronę do zakładek i sprawdzić sekcję komentarzy, aby zobaczyć, co myślą inni traderzy. Możesz też użyć filtrów zakresu czasu na wykresie, aby zobaczyć, jak kursy zmieniały się w czasie. To darmowe, działające w czasie rzeczywistym okno na to, czego rynek oczekuje.
Kursy Polymarket ustalane są przez prawdziwych traderów stawiających prawdziwe pieniądze za swoimi przekonaniami, co zwykle prowadzi do trafnych prognoz. Z $32 million wolumenu na "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?", ceny te agregują zbiorową wiedzę i zaangażowanie tysięcy uczestników — często przewyższając sondaże, prognozy ekspertów i tradycyjne badania. Rynki prognoz jak Polymarket mają silną historię trafności, szczególnie gdy wydarzenia zbliżają się do rozstrzygnięcia. Na przykład, Polymarket ma miesięczny wynik trafności 94%. Najnowsze statystyki trafności prognoz Polymarket znajdziesz na stronie trafności na Polymarket.
Aby złożyć swoje pierwsze zlecenie na "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?", zarejestruj darmowe konto Polymarket i doładuj je kryptowalutą, kartą kredytową lub debetową albo przelewem bankowym. Po doładowaniu konta wróć na tę stronę, wybierz wynik, na który chcesz handlować, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli jesteś nowy w rynkach prognoz, kliknij link "Jak to działa" na górze dowolnej strony Polymarket, aby zobaczyć szybki przewodnik krok po kroku.
Na Polymarket cena każdego wyniku reprezentuje implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Cena 19¢ za "31 grudnia" na rynku "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?" oznacza, że traderzy zbiorowo wierzą, iż istnieje w przybliżeniu 19% szansy na to, że "31 grudnia" będzie poprawnym wynikiem. Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" po 19¢ i wynik jest poprawny, otrzymasz $1.00 za udział — zysk 81¢ za udział. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, te udziały są warte $0.
Rynek "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?" jest zaplanowany na rozstrzygnięcie około Dec 31, 2026. Handel pozostaje otwarty, a kursy będą się zmieniać w miarę pojawiania się nowych informacji. Dokładny czas rozstrzygnięcia zależy od tego, kiedy oficjalny wynik stanie się dostępny, zgodnie z sekcją "Zasady" na tej stronie.
Rynek "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?" ma aktywną społeczność z 1,019 komentarzami, gdzie traderzy dzielą się swoimi analizami, debatują nad wynikami i omawiają najnowsze wydarzenia. Przewiń w dół do sekcji komentarzy, aby przeczytać, co myślą inni uczestnicy. Możesz też filtrować według "Najwięksi posiadacze", aby zobaczyć, na co postawiły największe portfele rynku, lub sprawdzić zakładkę "Aktywność" dla transmisji transakcji na żywo.
Polymarket to największy na świecie rynek prognoz, na którym możesz być na bieżąco i czerpać zyski ze swojej wiedzy o wydarzeniach w świecie rzeczywistym. Traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały w wynikach tematów od polityki i wyborów po kryptowaluty, finanse, sport, technologię i kulturę, w tym rynki takie jak "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?". Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym poparte finansowym zaangażowaniem, często dostarczając szybsze i trafniejsze sygnały niż sondaże, komentatorzy czy tradycyjne badania.
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