Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 99% implied probability, as the UAE did not issue any official announcement or formal notice of withdrawal from the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026, despite heightened speculation following its OPEC exit on April 28 effective May 1. The move stemmed from long-simmering Saudi-UAE rivalry over oil quotas, competition for regional influence, and frustration with the GCC's perceived weak political-military response to Iranian strikes during the ongoing conflict. UAE officials confirmed attendance at the April 28 Jeddah GCC consultative summit and ruled out further departures while reassessing multilateral ties for greater strategic autonomy via deepened US and Abraham Accords partnerships. Resolution awaits confirmation of continued membership.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30?
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30?
$98,881 Обс.
$98,881 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
$98,881 Обс.
$98,881 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 99% implied probability, as the UAE did not issue any official announcement or formal notice of withdrawal from the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026, despite heightened speculation following its OPEC exit on April 28 effective May 1. The move stemmed from long-simmering Saudi-UAE rivalry over oil quotas, competition for regional influence, and frustration with the GCC's perceived weak political-military response to Iranian strikes during the ongoing conflict. UAE officials confirmed attendance at the April 28 Jeddah GCC consultative summit and ruled out further departures while reassessing multilateral ties for greater strategic autonomy via deepened US and Abraham Accords partnerships. Resolution awaits confirmation of continued membership.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 28, 2026, 1:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$98,881Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 99% implied probability, as the UAE did not issue any official announcement or formal notice of withdrawal from the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026, despite heightened speculation following its OPEC exit on April 28 effective May 1. The move stemmed from long-simmering Saudi-UAE rivalry over oil quotas, competition for regional influence, and frustration with the GCC's perceived weak political-military response to Iranian strikes during the ongoing conflict. UAE officials confirmed attendance at the April 28 Jeddah GCC consultative summit and ruled out further departures while reassessing multilateral ties for greater strategic autonomy via deepened US and Abraham Accords partnerships. Resolution awaits confirmation of continued membership.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$98,881Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 99% implied probability, as the UAE did not issue any official announcement or formal notice of withdrawal from the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026, despite heightened speculation following its OPEC exit on April 28 effective May 1. The move stemmed from long-simmering Saudi-UAE rivalry over oil quotas, competition for regional influence, and frustration with the GCC's perceived weak political-military response to Iranian strikes during the ongoing conflict. UAE officials confirmed attendance at the April 28 Jeddah GCC consultative summit and ruled out further departures while reassessing multilateral ties for greater strategic autonomy via deepened US and Abraham Accords partnerships. Resolution awaits confirmation of continued membership.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання