Republican majorities in the House and Senate form the primary barrier to President Trump's removal via impeachment, which requires a simple House majority followed by two-thirds Senate conviction, rendering Democratic articles of impeachment filed in early April—prompted by his Iran threats and public statements—performative without procedural progress. No invocation of the 25th Amendment has materialized, as it demands Vice President Vance and a cabinet majority declaring incapacity, amid unified GOP support. Absent recent scandals, health disclosures, or resignation signals in the past 30 days, traders price near-certainty at 97.8% "No," though low-probability shifts could arise from late-breaking legal indictments, bipartisan revolt, or medical emergencies before June 30.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$4,232,641 Vol.
$4,232,641 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$4,232,641 Vol.
$4,232,641 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in the House and Senate form the primary barrier to President Trump's removal via impeachment, which requires a simple House majority followed by two-thirds Senate conviction, rendering Democratic articles of impeachment filed in early April—prompted by his Iran threats and public statements—performative without procedural progress. No invocation of the 25th Amendment has materialized, as it demands Vice President Vance and a cabinet majority declaring incapacity, amid unified GOP support. Absent recent scandals, health disclosures, or resignation signals in the past 30 days, traders price near-certainty at 97.8% "No," though low-probability shifts could arise from late-breaking legal indictments, bipartisan revolt, or medical emergencies before June 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volume
$4,232,641Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in the House and Senate form the primary barrier to President Trump's removal via impeachment, which requires a simple House majority followed by two-thirds Senate conviction, rendering Democratic articles of impeachment filed in early April—prompted by his Iran threats and public statements—performative without procedural progress. No invocation of the 25th Amendment has materialized, as it demands Vice President Vance and a cabinet majority declaring incapacity, amid unified GOP support. Absent recent scandals, health disclosures, or resignation signals in the past 30 days, traders price near-certainty at 97.8% "No," though low-probability shifts could arise from late-breaking legal indictments, bipartisan revolt, or medical emergencies before June 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,232,641Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in the House and Senate form the primary barrier to President Trump's removal via impeachment, which requires a simple House majority followed by two-thirds Senate conviction, rendering Democratic articles of impeachment filed in early April—prompted by his Iran threats and public statements—performative without procedural progress. No invocation of the 25th Amendment has materialized, as it demands Vice President Vance and a cabinet majority declaring incapacity, amid unified GOP support. Absent recent scandals, health disclosures, or resignation signals in the past 30 days, traders price near-certainty at 97.8% "No," though low-probability shifts could arise from late-breaking legal indictments, bipartisan revolt, or medical emergencies before June 30.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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