Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5% on Trump remaining president through 2026, driven by Republican majorities in Congress and loyalty from Vice President JD Vance and the cabinet, rendering impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation unlikely despite recent Democratic agitation. In early April, Trump's escalatory rhetoric threatening Iran's "entire civilization" sparked calls from figures like ex-CIA Director John Brennan, the NAACP, and dozens of House Democrats—including a Raskin-led bill for a 25th Amendment commission—citing erratic behavior and health concerns, but a subsequent U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement de-escalated tensions without GOP defections. No viable removal path has materialized in the past 30 days, with historical precedents showing such partisan efforts fail absent bipartisan support; midterms could shift dynamics, though structural barriers persist.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วย้ายออกจากตำแหน่งประธานาธิบดีก่อนปี 2027?
ย้ายออกจากตำแหน่งประธานาธิบดีก่อนปี 2027?
ใช่
$7,998,360 ปริมาณ
$7,998,360 ปริมาณ
ใช่
$7,998,360 ปริมาณ
$7,998,360 ปริมาณ
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5% on Trump remaining president through 2026, driven by Republican majorities in Congress and loyalty from Vice President JD Vance and the cabinet, rendering impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation unlikely despite recent Democratic agitation. In early April, Trump's escalatory rhetoric threatening Iran's "entire civilization" sparked calls from figures like ex-CIA Director John Brennan, the NAACP, and dozens of House Democrats—including a Raskin-led bill for a 25th Amendment commission—citing erratic behavior and health concerns, but a subsequent U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement de-escalated tensions without GOP defections. No viable removal path has materialized in the past 30 days, with historical precedents showing such partisan efforts fail absent bipartisan support; midterms could shift dynamics, though structural barriers persist.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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